作者 | 剧瑞![]() |
姓名汉语拼音 | JuRui |
学号 | 2022000008034 |
培养单位 | 兰州财经大学 |
电话 | 15896519226 |
电子邮件 | j15896519226@163.com |
入学年份 | 2022-9 |
学位类别 | 专业硕士 |
培养级别 | 硕士研究生 |
一级学科名称 | 会计 |
学科代码 | 1253 |
第一导师姓名 | 耀华 |
第一导师姓名汉语拼音 | Su Yaohua |
第一导师单位 | 兰州财经大学 |
第一导师职称 | 副教授 |
第二导师姓名 | 张卉乐 |
第二导师姓名汉语拼音 | Zhang Huile |
第二导师单位 | 甘肃金信会计师事务所有限公司 |
第二导师职称 | 注册会计师 |
题名 | 宁德时代高派现股利政策研究 |
英文题名 | Research on CATL's High Cash Dividend Policy |
关键词 | 高派现股利 再融资动机 迎合理论 |
外文关键词 | High dividend payout ; Refinancing motivation ; Catering theory |
摘要 | 随着中国资本市场监管框架从 2004 年半强制分红向 2023 年分类强制约束转型,新修订的《国务院关于进一步推进资本市场改革开放和稳定发展的若干意见》(新“国九条”)明确提出,鼓励科技型上市公司在合理区间内提高分红比例,实现股东回报与创新投入的动态平衡。宁德时代新能源科技股份有限公司作为全球动力电池领域领军企业,其股利支付率显著高于行业均值,且连续五年保持现金分红增长,为研究中国制造业企业股利政策选择提供了研究样本。 本研究基于股利政策生命周期理论、委托代理理论及自由现金流假说,构建 生命周期、财务特征以及治理结构分析框架,旨在验证成熟期企业自由现金流分配规律在中国制造业的适用性;以及量化高派现政策对市场反应的双重影响。研究采用案例研究方法,通过对比企业生命周期阶段与行业特性,论证自由现金流对高派现政策的支撑作用;运用事件研究法测算市场反应,并验证自由现金流与股利支付率的正相关关系;通过解构控股股东行为,揭示控制权溢价、税务套利和再融资需求三重驱动机制。研究结果表明,宁德时代高派现政策是企业生命周期、股权结构与差异化分红政策共同作用的结果。其股利支付率既符合生命周期理论对成熟期企业的预期,又通过分红加融资的策略满足大股东资金需求。市场反应方面,预案公告日窗口累计超额收益率显著高于行业均值,验证了股利迎合理论适用性。然而,高派现不仅导致研发投入强度低于行业均值,存在技术迭代滞后风险,而且存在大股东通过“高派现 + 定向增发”组合策略实现财富转移的风险。 本研究提供三点启示,首先企业建立分红比例= 50%+研发投入强度的动态平衡模型;其次为保护中小股东应完善股权制衡机制;最后监管部门应探索“分红承诺 + 研发专户”监管模式,确保自由现金流合理配置。研究结果对监管部门评估差异化政策效果、投资者识别财富转移风险具有重要参考价值。 |
英文摘要 | With China's capital market regulatory framework transitioning from the 2004 semi-mandatory dividend policy to the 2023 classified mandatory constraints, the newly revised "State Council's Opinions on Further Promoting the Reform, Opening-up, and Stable Development of the Capital Market" (New "Nine National Policies") explicitly encourages technology-based listed companies to increase dividend ratios within reasonable ranges, achieving dynamic balance between shareholder returns and innovation investments. Contemporary Amperex Technology Limited (CATL), a global leader in power battery sector, demonstrates significantly higher dividend payout ratios than industry averages while maintaining consecutive five-year cash dividend growth, providing a valuable research sample for studying dividend policy choices of Chinese manufacturing enterprises. This study constructs an analytical framework integrating life cycle theory of dividend policy, principal-agent theory, and free cash flow hypothesis, aiming to verify the applicability of free cash flow distribution patterns for mature enterprises in Chinese manufacturing; and quantify the dual effects of high-dividend policies on market reactions. Employing case study methodology, the research compares enterprise life cycle stages with industry characteristics to demonstrate the supporting role of free cash flow in high-dividend policies. Event study methodology
is used to measure market reactions and validate the positive correlation between free cash flow and dividend payout ratios. Through deconstructing controlling shareholder behaviors, the research reveals triple driving mechanisms of control premium, tax arbitrage, and refinancing demands. Empirical results indicate that CATL's high-dividend policy arises from the combined effects of enterprise life cycle, ownership structure, and differentiated dividend policies. Its dividend payout ratio aligns with life cycle theory expectations for mature enterprises while satisfying major shareholder capital demands through dividend-plus-financing strategies. Market reaction analysis shows significant cumulative abnormal returns exceeding industry averages during the announcement window, verifying the applicability of dividend catering theory. However, high dividend payouts not only result in R&D intensity below industry averages with potential technological lag risks but also create wealth transfer risks through controlling shareholders' "high-dividend plus private placement" strategies. The study provides three key implications: first, enterprises should establish a dynamic balance model with dividend ratio = 50% + R&D intensity; second, equity balance mechanisms should be perfected to protect minority shareholders; third, regulators should explore "dividend commitment + R&D special account" regulatory models to ensure rational allocation of free cash flows. The findings offer important
references for regulators evaluating differentiated policy effects and investors identifying wealth transfer risks. |
学位类型 | 硕士 |
答辩日期 | 2025-05-24 |
学位授予地点 | 甘肃省兰州市 |
语种 | 中文 |
论文总页数 | 56 |
参考文献总数 | 56 |
馆藏号 | 0006896 |
保密级别 | 公开 |
中图分类号 | F23/1203 |
文献类型 | 学位论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.lzufe.edu.cn/handle/39EH0E1M/40117 |
专题 | 会计学院 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | 剧瑞. 宁德时代高派现股利政策研究[D]. 甘肃省兰州市. 兰州财经大学,2025. |
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宁德时代高派现股利政策研究.pdf(2276KB) | 学位论文 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 下载 |
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