经济学院知识库

随着国外形势日益严峻和国内经济周期性调整，我国经济的稳定与发展正面临前所未有的压力与挑战。在应对外部风险和内部不确定性时，提升区域韧性成为确保经济稳定运行的关键举措。自改革开放以来，我国各地区经济发展呈现出显著的韧性特征，但区域间差异依然明显，探索更具韧性的区域经济发展模式，对于推动经济高质量发展具有重要的现实意义。创新是提升区域经济韧性的重要驱动力，然而单一创新模式难以应对复杂多变的环境。双元创新通过结合利用式创新和探索式创新，既能实现短期效率提升，又能推动长期技术突破，为增强区域经济韧性提供了重要路径。基于此，本文从双元创新视角出发，探讨利用式创新和探索式创新对区域经济韧性的影响机制，以期为优化区域创新政策、提升经济韧性提供理论依据和实践对策。
本文基于双元创新视角，探讨利用式创新和探索式创新对区域经济韧性的影响及其作用机制。首先，通过文献梳理提出双元创新影响区域经济韧性的理论机制；其次，基于2008-2023年我国30个省（直辖市、自治区）的面板数据，测算利用式创新、探索式创新及区域经济韧性水平，分析其时序演变特征；接着，运用固定效应模型分析双元创新对区域经济韧性的影响及其在东、中、西部地区的异质性；然后，通过中介效应模型检验产业结构升级在双元创新影响区域经济韧性中的作用机制；最后，利用空间杜宾模型探究双元创新对本省及邻近省份区域经济韧性的空间溢出效应。
研究结果表明：（1）利用式创新、探索式创新及区域经济韧性整体呈上升趋势，但区域差距显著，东部地区领先，中部次之，西部最低。（2）双元创新显著提升区域经济韧性，且利用式创新对东部地区和中部地区的影响不显著，对西部地区的影响则最为突出，探索式创新对西部地区的影响最为显著，中部地区次之，东部地区其影响则相对较弱；市场化水平、人口密度、环境优化、金融发展水平和社会消费水平对区域经济韧性具有正向影响，而人力资本对区域经济韧性具有负向影响。（3）双元创新通过促进产业结构升级提升区域经济韧性，其中探索式创新的作用优于利用式创新。（4）双元创新具有显著的空间溢出效应，能够提升本省及邻近省份的区域经济韧性，其中探索式创新的空间溢出效应更强，因其通过知识共享和技术扩散带动周边地区发展，而利用式创新更多依赖现有资源优化，对长期经济韧性的支持相对有限。基于研究结论，本文提出以下对策建议：强化双元创新协同机制，平衡长短期经济目标；推动产业结构优化升级，促进区域经济可持续发展；促进区域创新资源共享，提升区域协同能力；完善创新生态系统，夯实双元创新基础，以期为增强区域经济韧性提供参考。
 

With the increasingly severe foreign situation and the cyclical adjustment of the domestic economy, the stability and development of Chinese economy are facing unprecedented pressure and challenges. In response to external risks and internal uncertainties, improving economic resilience has become a key measure to ensure the stable operation of the economy. Since the reform and opening up, various regions in China have demonstrated different economic resilience, but there are obvious differences between regions. Exploring a more resilient regional economic development model is of great practical significance for promoting high-quality economic development. Innovation is an important driving force for improving regional economic resilience, but a single innovation model cannot cope with a complex and changing environment. Dual innovation, represented by utilization innovation and exploratory innovation, can take into account both short-term efficiency and long-term breakthroughs, and is an important path to improve regional economic resilience. Therefore, this article starts from the perspective of dual innovation to explore the impact of utilization innovation and exploratory innovation on regional economic resilience, in order to provide some countermeasures and suggestions for improving regional economic resilience.
First, by combing the literature on dual innovation and regional economic resilience, the theoretical mechanism of dual innovation affecting regional economic resilience is proposed; secondly, based on the panel data of 30 provinces China from 2008 to 2023, the levels of utilization innovation, exploratory innovation and regional economic resilience are measured, and the time series evolution characteristics of dual innovation and regional economic resilience are analyzed; the impact of dual innovation on regional economic resilience and its regional heterogeneity across the eastern, central, and western regions are analyzed. The mediation role of industrial structure upgrading in this impact is also tested; Finally, through the spatial Durbin model, the spatial spillover effect of dual innovation on the regional economic resilience of the province and neighboring provinces is explored from a spatial perspective.
The research results show that: (1) From the current situation analysis results, utilization innovation, exploratory innovation and regional economic resilience show an overall upward trend, and the regional gap is significant. The eastern region is in the leading position in dual innovation and regional economic resilience, followed by the central region, and the western region has the lowest level. (2) From the perspective of the baseline regression analysis, dual innovation can significantly improve regional economic resilience. The Marketization level, population density, environmental optimization, Financial development level and social consumption level have a positive impact on regional economic resilience, while human capital has a negative impact on regional economic resilience. The robustness test results show that the impact of dual innovation on regional economic resilience is reliable. From the perspective of regional heterogeneity, the effects of utilization innovation and exploratory innovation on the western region are the most significant, followed by the effects on the eastern region. The effect of dual innovation on regional economic resilience in the central region is relatively weak. (3) From the perspective of the impact mechanism analysis, dual innovation can improve regional economic resilience by promoting the upgrading of industrial structure. Among them, the effect of utilization innovation on regional economic resilience is better than that of exploratory innovation on industrial structure upgrading. This is related to the fact that enterprises tend to choose innovation methods with lower risks, strong Market adaptability and stable returns. (4) From the perspective of spatial effect analysis, the spillover effect of dual innovation is significant, which can enhance the regional economic resilience of itself and neighboring provinces. Among them, the spatial spillover effect of exploratory technological innovation is better than that of utilization-based technological innovation. This is related to the fact that the innovative results and advanced technologies of exploratory innovation have a more significant driving effect on surrounding areas through the channels of knowledge sharing and technology diffusion, further promoting the innovation capacity and economic resilience of other regions. In contrast, utilization-based innovation relies more on the optimal application of existing technologies and resources. Although it can promote economic growth in the short term, its long-term support for regional economic resilience is relatively limited because it usually focuses more on improving the utilization efficiency of existing production factors rather than creating new growth drivers. Finally, based on the conclusions of the study, targeted countermeasures and suggestions are proposed, such as strengthening the dual innovation coordination mechanism, balancing long-term and short-term economic goals; promoting the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure and promoting sustainable development of regional economy; promoting regional innovation resource sharing and enhancing regional economic coordination capacity; improving the innovation ecosystem and consolidating the foundation of dual innovation, in order to provide valuable reference and strategic guidance for enhancing regional economic resilience.