金融学院知识库

绿色金融促进产业结构升级是推动产业绿色低碳转型、助力实现碳达峰碳中和目标的重点工作。近年来，我国面临宏观经济增速放缓、产业结构发展不均衡以及环境保护等问题，实现产业结构转型升级和绿色发展是新时期我国发展经济的重点任务。新时代经济发展的重点是解决社会发展不平衡不充分的矛盾，注重经济从高速增长向高质量发展转变，必须推动经济发展质量变革、效率变革、动力变革。甘肃省的生态地位特殊而且重要，但面临产业结构偏重、能源结构偏煤等问题，如要推进生态文明建设、按期实现双碳目标，就必须实现产业结构绿色转型，因此本文从理论与实证两层面研究甘肃省绿色金融对产业结构升级的影响。理论方面，梳理国内外绿色金融与产业结构升级相关文献并分析两者的内在联系，进而分析绿色金融影响产业结构升级的作用机制。实证方面，本文基于2012-2021年省级面板数据，利用合成控制法分析甘肃省绿色金融对产业结构升级的影响。研究发现，合成单元较好的拟合了政策实施之前的发展趋势，且政策实施后显著促进了产业结构升级，这一结论通过了更换处理组检验、排列检验以及混合安慰剂检验，在统计意义上具有显著性。进一步的机制分析表明，对外开放和城镇化是绿色金融影响产业结构升级的中介变量，从中均发挥部分中介作用。研究结论为更好的推进绿色金融发展、加快产业结构转型升级提供了经验证据。

Green finance promotes the upgrading of industrial structure, which is the key work to promote the green and low-carbon transformation of industry and help achieve the goal of carbon peak and carbon neutrality. In recent years, the macro-economic growth slowdown, industrial structure unbalanced development and environmental protection problems, the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure and green development is the key task of our economic development in the new period. The priority of economic development in the new era is to address the problem of unbalanced and inadequate social development and focus on transforming the economy from high-speed growth to high-quality development. We must promote a change in the quality, efficiency and driving force of economic development. The ecological status of Gansu Province is special and important, but it faces the problems of heavy industrial structure and coal energy structure. If we want to achieve the double carbon goal on schedule and promote the construction of ecological civilization, we must realize the green transformation of industrial structure. Therefore, this paper studies the impact of green finance on industrial structure upgrading in Gansu province from both theoretical and empirical levels. In the theoretical analysis part, relevant theories are firstly sorted out and summarized as support, and the linkage effect and internal mechanism of the two are further analyzed, so as to explore the mechanism of green finance in promoting industrial structure upgrading. Empirically, based on the provincial panel data from 2012 to 2021, this paper analyzes the impact of green finance policies on industrial structure upgrading in Gansu province by using the composite control method. The study found that the synthetic unit better fitted the development trend before the implementation of the policy, and significantly promoted the upgrading of the industrial structure after the implementation of the policy. This conclusion passed the replacement treatment group test, the arrangement test and the mixed placebo test, and was statistically significant. Further mechanism analysis shows that opening to the outside world and urbanization are the intermediary variables of green finance in promoting industrial structure upgrading, and both play a partial intermediary role. The conclusions provide empirical evidence for better promoting the development of green finance and accelerating the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure.