统计与数据科学学院知识库

新型城镇化与乡村振兴战略作为我国发展战略的重要组成部分，既是破解我国社会主要矛盾的必然要求，也是解决“三农”问题的重要契机，同时也是实现农业农村现代化的关键途径。乡村振兴战略不仅可以帮助我国解决“三农”问题，而且也可以缓解我国城市发展中所面临的一些压力，新型城镇化战略则从资金和技术等方面为我国的农村供给侧改革提供要素支撑，新型城镇化与乡村振兴的耦合协调发展是我国实现城乡融合发展的新途径。因此，必须深入分析新型城镇化与乡村振兴两大系统的耦合协调作用机理，并对二者耦合协调的互动关系进行剖析。而西部地区发展相对滞后，其新型城镇化与乡村振兴之间是否达到耦合协调发展以及程度如何，这将直接关系到我国城乡的统筹发展进度，甚至还可能减缓我国新型城镇化与乡村振兴协同发展的速度。为此，本文首先在梳理和归纳相关文献的基础上，解析新型城镇化与乡村振兴的相关基础概念，并深入剖析二者耦合协调的作用机制，揭示其作用机理。接着对西部地区新型城镇化与乡村振兴的特征进行了具体分析。然后在此基础上，从人口、经济、社会和生态四个维度选取指标进行新型城镇化评价指标体系的构建，从产业兴旺、生态宜居、乡风文明、治理有效和生活富裕五个维度选取指标进行乡村振兴评价指标体系的构建，利用2011-2020年西部87个城市的新型城镇化与乡村振兴相关数据，以市为评价单元，评价分析了新型城镇化、乡村振兴的综合发展水平以及新型城镇化与乡村振兴的耦合度、耦合协调度水平。实证结果表明：第一，乡村振兴综合水平评价指数总体要比新型城镇化综合水平评价指数偏小；第二，不同年份各城市的耦合度数值波动明显，表现为时间的差异性与空间的差异性；第三，两个系统耦合协调度整体呈现上升态势，随着年份的变化而逐渐由“中度失调发展”向“初级协调发展”转变，由“损益型发展”转为“滞后型发展”；第四，地区空间差异显著。最后结合实证结论提出主要对策建议：完善城乡人口双向流动机制；充分发挥地域优势；发挥辐射带动作用；完善城乡融合体制机制。

As an important part of China's development strategy, new urbanization and rural revitalization strategy is not only an inevitable requirement to solve the main social contradictions in China, but also an important opportunity to solve the ' three rural ' problems, and also a key way to realize agricultural and rural modernization. The strategy of rural revitalization can not only help China to solve the problems of agriculture, rural areas and farmers, but also alleviate some pressure faced by China 's urban development. The new urbanization strategy provides essential support for China 's rural supply-side reform from the aspects of funds and technology. The coupling and coordinated development of new urbanization and rural revitalization is a new way to realize the integration of urban and rural development in China. Therefore, it is necessary to deeply analyze the coupling and coordination mechanism of the two systems of new urbanization and rural revitalization, and analyze the interactive relationship between them. However, the development of the western region is relatively backward. Whether and to what extent the new urbanization and rural revitalization have achieved coupling and coordinated development will directly affect the overall development progress of urban and rural areas in China, and even may slow down the coordinated development of new urbanization and rural revitalization in China. Therefore, this thesis first analyzes the basic concepts of new urbanization and rural revitalization on the basis of combing and summarizing relevant literature, and deeply analyzes the mechanism of coupling and coordination between the two, revealing its mechanism of action. Then, the characteristics of new urbanization and rural revitalization in the western region are analyzed in detail. Then on this basis, indicators are selected from the four dimensions of population, economy, society and ecology to construct the evaluation index system of new urbanization, and indicators are selected from the five dimensions of industrial prosperity, ecological livability, rural civilization, effective governance and affluent life to construct the evaluation index system of rural revitalization. Using the relevant data of new urbanization and rural revitalization of 87 cities in the western region from 2011 to 2020, and taking the city as the evaluation unit, the comprehensive development level of new urbanization and rural revitalization, and the coupling degree and coupling coordination degree of new urbanization and rural revitalization are evaluated and analyzed. The empirical results show that : firstly, the comprehensive evaluation index of rural revitalization is generally smaller than that of new urbanization; second, the coupling degree of cities in different years fluctuates significantly, which is manifested by the difference in time and space. Third, the coupling coordination degree of the two systems shows an upward trend as a whole, and gradually changes from ' moderate imbalance development ' to ' primary coordinated development ' with the change of years, from ' profit and loss development ' to ' lagging development '; fourth, regional spatial differences are significant. Finally, combined with the empirical conclusions put forward the main countermeasures and suggestions : improve the urban and rural population two-way flow mechanism; give full play to regional advantages; play a leading role in radiation; improve the system and mechanism of urban-rural integration.