就业还是升学:经济政策不确定性对本科生毕业意向的影响

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1003-2614.2024.05.021

	就业还是升学:经济政策不确定性对本科生毕业意向的影响
其他题名	Employment or Further Education:The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Undergraduate Students'Choices
	许静; 甘崎旭; 廖星凯
	2024-05-05
发表期刊	黑龙江高教研究
期号	5 页码:138-148
摘要	基于首都大学生成长追踪调查数据、中国家庭追踪调查以及财经文本大数据基础数据库,探讨了经济政策不确定性对本科生毕业意向的影响.研究表明,经济政策不确定性显著抑制了本科生的就业意向,促进其升学意向,并且该影响对创业意向的抑制作用更强,对国内升学的促进作用更强.从家庭资本和个体资本维度讨论了经济政策不确定性对不同本科生群体毕业意向的影响差异.家庭经济资本、文化资本和个体人力资本、社会资本、政治资本缓解了经济政策不确定性对本科生毕业意向的影响.进一步考察经济政策不确定性对高等学历群体劳动力市场表现的影响,发现其虽然不至于抑制较高学历群体的就业,但是显著抑制他们的工资水平.研究拓展了宏观经济因素影响本科生毕业意向、劳动力市场表现的内容,有助于启示政府、学校和个体应该如何应对经济政策不确定性的冲击.
其他摘要	Based on the Beijing College Student Panel Survey,China Family Panel Studies and Financial Text Big Data Base Data-base,this paper discusses the impact of economic policy uncertainty on college students'graduation intention.It shows that economic policy uncertainty significantly inhibits college students'employment intention and promotes their intention to pursue higher education,and the effect is stronger in inhibiting entrepreneurial intention and stronger in promoting domestic higher education.Differences in the effects of economic policy uncertainty on the graduation planning of different college student groups are discussed in terms of family cap-ital and individual capital.Family economic capital,cultural capital and individual human capital,social capital,and political capital moderate the effects of economic policy uncertainty on college students'intention to graduate.Further examination of the impact of eco-nomic policy uncertainty on the labor market performance of higher education groups shows that while it does not inhibit the employment of higher education groups,it significantly inhibits their wage income levels.The study adds to the body of evidence on macroeconomic factors affecting college students'intention to graduate and labour market performance,and helps to shed light on how the government,schools and individuals should respond to the impact of economic policy uncertainty.
关键词	经济政策不确定性毕业意向家庭资本个体资本劳动力市场表现
DOI	10.3969/j.issn.1003-2614.2024.05.021
URL	查看原文
收录类别	北大核心 ; AMI
ISSN	1003-2614
语种	中文
原始文献类型	Periodical
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.lzufe.edu.cn/handle/39EH0E1M/37497
专题	农林经济管理学院经济学院
作者单位	兰州财经大学,甘肃兰州 730101
第一作者单位	兰州财经大学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	许静,甘崎旭,廖星凯. 就业还是升学:经济政策不确定性对本科生毕业意向的影响[J]. 黑龙江高教研究,2024(5):138-148.
APA	许静,甘崎旭,&廖星凯.(2024).就业还是升学:经济政策不确定性对本科生毕业意向的影响.黑龙江高教研究(5),138-148.
MLA	许静,et al."就业还是升学:经济政策不确定性对本科生毕业意向的影响".黑龙江高教研究 .5(2024):138-148.