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| 作者 | 李婉婷 |
| 姓名汉语拼音 | liwanting |
| 学号 | 2021000002061 |
| 培养单位 | 兰州财经大学 |
| 电话 | 18893484008 |
| 电子邮件 | wanting202307@163.com |
| 入学年份 | 2021-9 |
| 学位类别 | 学术硕士 |
| 培养级别 | 硕士研究生 |
| 学科门类 | 经济学 |
| 一级学科名称 | 应用经济学 |
| 学科方向 | 产业经济学 |
| 学科代码 | 020205 |
| 授予学位 | 经济学硕士 |
| 第一导师姓名 | 王思文 |
| 第一导师姓名汉语拼音 | wangsiwen |
| 第一导师单位 | 兰州财经大学 |
| 第一导师职称 | 教授 |
| 题名 | 消费升级对产业结构升级的影响研究 |
| 英文题名 | Research on Influence of Consumption Upgrading on Industrial Structure Upgrading |
| 关键词 | 消费升级 产业结构升级 流通效率 |
| 外文关键词 | Consumption upgrading ; Industrial structure upgrading ; Circulation efficiency |
| 摘要 | 习近平总书记在党的二十大会议中强调，要把重点放在扩大内需上面，增强消费在经济发展过程中的基础性作用。消费升级通过激发收入弹性效应、优化要素配置以及推动技术创新，对产业结构升级产生积极影响。尽管我国持续想办法对产业进行调整，但各产业间的发展不均依旧明显，这无疑对我国的经济可持续发展构成了显著制约。2022 年，社会消费品零售总额在两年间的平均增速仅为3.9%，这一速度低于同期 GDP 平均增长 5.1%的水平。从短期效应来看，国内疫情给我国经济发展带来了不小的冲击。在经济逐步复苏的过程中，消费恢复的步伐明显滞后于整体经济增长和供给端的恢复，这进一步凸显了提升消费动力的重要性和紧迫性。因此，本文探究消费升级如何作用于产业结构升级，对促进我国经济发展具有重要意义。
习近平总书记强调，流通体系是国民经济发展的基础。要畅通国内经济循环，促进经济增长，实现经济高质量发展，就要建设高水平的流通体系。流通作为中间环节，一端连着生产，一端连着消费，可以使国内经济循环更加畅通、形成统一的国内大市场，而在新发展格局下的作用更加明显。本文通过梳理文献发现，流通效率可以通过对产业拉动效应和收入弹性效应的影响，从而起到消费升级与产业结构升级之间的调节作用。因此，本文选择流通效率这一调节变量，对流通效率在消费升级对产业结构升级的影响中的调节作用进行研究。
本文采用固定效应模型，利用 2011-2020 年的省级面板数据对消费升级对产业结构升级的影响以及其影响机制进行实证研究，得出结论：消费升级对产业结构高级化具有显著促进作用，对产业结构合理化的作用不显著。消费升级可以通过收入弹性机制、要素配置机制和技术创新机制促进产业结构升级。流通效率对消费升级促进产业结构升级具有积极的调节作用，流通效率的提高有助于强化消费升级对产业结构高级化的积极影响，但尚未在消费升级与产业结构合理化之间发挥作用。最后针对促进消费、提高流通效率、重视产业间的协调与平衡等提出了具体可行的政策建议。 |
| 英文摘要 | At his 20th CPC meeting, General Secretary Xi Jinping stressed that the focus should be on expanding domestic demand and enhancing the fundamental role of consumption in economic development. Consumption upgrading has a positive impact on the upgrading of industrial structure by stimulating the elastic effect of income, optimizing the allocation of factors and promoting technological innovation.
Although China continues to find ways to adjust the industry, the uneven development among the industries is still obvious, which undoubtedly constitutes a significant restriction on the sustainable development of China's economy. In 2022, the average growth rate of total retail sales of consumer goods was only 3.9% in two years, which is lower than the average GDP growth rate of 5.1% in the same period. From the
short-term effect, the domestic epidemic has brought a considerable impact on China's economic development. In the process of gradual economic recovery, the pace of consumption recovery obviously lags behind the overall economic growth and the recovery of the supply side,
which further highlights the importance and urgency of increasing consumption momentum. Therefore, this paper explores how consumption upgrading acts on industrial structure upgrading, which is of great significance to promote China's economic development.
General Secretary Xi Jinping has stressed that the circulation system is the foundation of national economic development. In order to smooth the domestic economic cycle, promote economic growth and achieve high-quality economic development, it is necessary to build a high-level circulation system. As an intermediate link, circulation is connected to production at one end and consumption at the other end, which can make the domestic economic cycle more smooth and form a unified domestic market, and play a more obvious role in the new development pattern. Through combing the literature, this paper found that the circulation efficiency can play a regulating role between consumption upgrading and industrial structure upgrading through the influence of industrial pulling effect and income elasticity effect. Therefore, this paper selects the adjustment variable of circulation efficiency to study the regulating role
of circulation efficiency in the influence of consumption upgrading on industrial structure upgrading.
This paper adopts the fixed effect model and uses the provincial panel data from 2011 to 2020 to conduct empirical research on the impact of consumption upgrading on industrial structure upgrading and its influence mechanism, and concludes that consumption upgrading has a significant role in promoting the upgrading of industrial structure and plays no significant role in the rationalization of industrial structure.Consumption upgrading can promote the upgrading of industrial structure through the income elasticity mechanism, factor allocation mechanism and technological innovation mechanism. Circulation efficiency has a positive regulating effect on consumption upgrading and promoting the upgrading of industrial structure, and the improvement of circulation efficiency helps to strengthen the positive impact of consumption upgrading on the upgrading of industrial structure, but it has not yet played a role between consumption upgrading and the rationalization of
industrial structure. Finally, specific and feasible policy suggestions are put forward for promoting consumption, improving circulation efficiency and attaching importance to the coordination and balance among industries. |
| 学位类型 | 硕士 |
| 答辩日期 | 2024-05-25 |
| 学位授予地点 | 甘肃省兰州市 |
| 研究方向 | 丝绸之路经济带建设与西部产业发展 |
| 语种 | 中文 |
| 论文总页数 | 51 |
| 插图总数 | 1 |
| 插表总数 | 12 |
| 参考文献总数 | 75 |
| 馆藏号 | 0005594 |
| 保密级别 | 公开 |
| 中图分类号 | F062.9/93 |
| 文献类型 | 学位论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://ir.lzufe.edu.cn/handle/39EH0E1M/37200 |
| 专题 | 国际经济与贸易学院 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | 李婉婷. 消费升级对产业结构升级的影响研究[D]. 甘肃省兰州市. 兰州财经大学,2024. |
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