Institutional Repository of School of Statistics
作者 | 任玉丹 |
姓名汉语拼音 | Ren Yudan |
学号 | 2021000003025 |
培养单位 | 兰州财经大学 |
电话 | 13546296622 |
电子邮件 | 260704825@qq.com |
入学年份 | 2021-9 |
学位类别 | 专业硕士 |
培养级别 | 硕士研究生 |
学科门类 | 经济学 |
一级学科名称 | 统计学 |
学科代码 | 0252 |
第一导师姓名 | 郭精军 |
第一导师姓名汉语拼音 | Guo Jingjun |
第一导师单位 | 兰州财经大学 |
第一导师职称 | 教授 |
题名 | 沿黄九省区生态保护与经济高质量协同发展测度及影响因素研究 |
英文题名 | Research on the Measurement and Influencing Factors of the Coordinated Development of Ecological Protection and Economic High Quality in Nine Provinces and Regions Along the Yellow River |
关键词 | 生态保护 经济高质量发展 耦合协调性 空间杜宾模型 |
外文关键词 | Ecological protection ; Economic high-quality development ; Coupling coordination ; Spatial Dubin model |
摘要 | 黄河流域生态和经济的协同发展关乎我国发展大计,然而黄河流域不仅面临着生态和水文问题,而且面临着许多社会和经济发展问题,同时在生态环境保护和社会经济发展方面依然存在着明显的不平衡性。因此探究黄河流域生态保护与经济高质量协同发展机制,推动黄河流域区域内和区域间协同发展,已经成为黄河流域缓解生态环境压力和全方位提高经济质量的必然选择。 为实现黄河流域生态保护和经济高质量协同发展,本文在对生态环境和经济高质量内涵的梳理的基础上,分别从“压力—状态—响应”和“创新—协调—绿色—开放—共享”方面构建生态环境保护和经济高质量发展指标体系,运用纵横向拉开档次法测度黄河流域九省区生态保护综合水平和经济高质量发展综合水平;运用耦合协调度模型对系统间协同性测度,并从流域整体和省域视角分析其协同性空间分布特征,根据Dagum基尼系数探究黄河流域九省区协同性的区域差异来源,运用Kernel密度估计方法分析协同性的动态演进规律,利用Markov链确定协同性的最终转移趋势;最后运用空间杜宾模型探究生态保护中压力、状态、响应指数和经济高质量发展中创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享指数对协同性的影响程度,找到实现黄河流域区域内和区域间协同发展的提升路径。 研究结果表明:(1)黄河流域生态和经济系统的协同性处于高耦合、中低协调水平,呈现增长趋势;(2)沿黄九省区生态保护和经济高质量发展的协同性具有“东高西低”、“南高北低”的空间分布格局,具有空间异质性,且这种空间差异性主要来源于区域间的差异,绝对差异性逐渐减小但是差异性将长期存在;(3)区域内部压力、状态、响应、创新、协同、绿色、开放、共享指数均对协同发展产生正向促进作用,区域间压力、状态、绿色和开放指数表现出显著的空间溢出效应。 |
英文摘要 | The coordinated development of ecology and economy in the Yellow River Basin is intertwined with China's development plan. However, the YRB is not solely grappling with ecological and hydrological issues, but also confronting numerous social and economic development challenges. Simultaneously, there exists a noticeable disparity in the protection of the ecological environment and the advancement of social and economic sectors. Thus, delving into the mechanism of harmonizing ecological preservation with high-quality economic growth and fostering harmonious development within and between regions has emerged as an unavoidable decision to mitigate the strain on the ecological environment and enhance economic standards holistically.To achieve the synchronized advancement of ecological preservation and high-quality economic growth in the YRB, an index system is formulated for ecological environmental protection and high-quality economic development based on the essence of the ecological environment and top-notch economic quality, encompassing aspects such as "pressure - state - response" and "innovation - coordination - green - opening - sharing." The vertical and horizontal partition grade method evaluates the comprehensive level of ecological protection and high-quality economic development across the nine provinces. The coupling coordination degree model gauges inter-system collaboration, examining the spatial distribution characteristics of cooperation at both the basin-wide and provincial levels. The origins of regional disparities in cooperation are probed using the Dagum-Gini coefficient, while the Kernel density estimation method dissects the dynamic evolution pattern of cooperation. The Markov chain discerns the ultimate trend of cooperation transfer. Finally, the spatial econometric model is used to explore the degree of influence of pressure, state and response index in ecological protection and innovation, coordination, green, openness and sharing index in high-quality economic development on the synergy, and to find an improvement path to achieve intra-regional and inter-regional collaborative development.development in the nine provinces and regions. The findings reveal that: (1) in the YRB, the interaction between ecological and economic systems is characterized by high coupling, moderate, and low coordination levels, indicating a rising tendency; (2) The coordination between ecological conservation and high-quality economic advancement in the nine provinces spanning the Yellow River displays a spatial distribution trend of "east high, west low" and "south high, north low", exhibiting spatial diversity. This spatial variance predominantly stems from disparities among regions, which are diminishing but projected to persist long-term; (3) Internal pressure, condition, response, innovation, collaboration, eco-friendliness, openness, and shared indicators all positively contribute to cooperative advancement within regions, while cross-regional pressure, condition, eco-friendliness, and openness indicators exhibit notable spatial diffusion effects. |
学位类型 | 硕士 |
答辩日期 | 2024-05-25 |
学位授予地点 | 甘肃省兰州市 |
语种 | 中文 |
论文总页数 | 80 |
参考文献总数 | 71 |
馆藏号 | 0005626 |
保密级别 | 公开 |
中图分类号 | C8/402 |
文献类型 | 学位论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.lzufe.edu.cn/handle/39EH0E1M/37087 |
专题 | 统计与数据科学学院 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | 任玉丹. 沿黄九省区生态保护与经济高质量协同发展测度及影响因素研究[D]. 甘肃省兰州市. 兰州财经大学,2024. |
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