作者吴春模
姓名汉语拼音Wu Chunmo
学号2021000003034
培养单位兰州财经大学
电话15213127731
电子邮件3307341870@qq.com
入学年份2021-9
学位类别专业硕士
培养级别硕士研究生
一级学科名称应用统计
学科代码0252
授予学位应用统计硕士专业学位
第一导师姓名刘明
第一导师姓名汉语拼音Liu Ming
第一导师单位兰州财经大学
第一导师职称教授
题名可持续性技术创新对制造业高质量发展的影响研究
英文题名Research on the impact of sustainable technological innovation on the high-quality development of manufacturing industry
关键词制造业高质量发展 可持续性技术创新 面板数据模型 空间溢出效应
外文关键词Superior advancement in the manufacturing sector ; Sustainable tech advancement ; Model of data for panels ; The phenomenon of geographical diffusion
摘要

自改革开放以来,中国经济在要素和投资的双重驱动下,多年来一直保持着中高速增长,在面临复杂多变的外部环境和多重因素挑战时,中国制造稳步向前——2023年,稳增长政策“组合拳”有力有效,中国制造业总体规模连续14年位居全球第一。尽管如此,制造业的迅猛扩张也带来了技术革新的挑战与产业升级的需求。在新常态背景下,制造业的高质量发展对于社会整体的高质量发展来说,制造业的高质量发展显得尤为关键。因此,深入探究可持续性技术创新助推制造业高质量发展的内在机制,厘清可持续性技术创新与我国制造业高质量发展之间的相互影响和空间溢出效应,成为抢抓发展机会、锁定新增长点、促进中国制造业高质量发展、助推制造业转型升级的关键所在。

本文首先广泛搜集了国内外关于制造业高质量发展与可持续技术创新的相关学术文献,梳理了制造业高质量发展与可持续技术创新的基本概念及其理论基础,并探究了中国制造业高质量发展水平与可持续技术创新的现状与特征,从狭义的角度提出了可持续性技术创新影响制造业高质量发展的作用机制;其次本研究利用2011-2021年中国30个省级的面板数据,量化评价中国30个省市的制造业高质量水平,并分析其现状;在此基础上,搭建面板回归分析模型实证检验可持续性技术创新影响制造业高质量发展的内在机理,建立空间杜宾模型验证制造业高质量发展的空间经济特性,以评估可持续技术创新在空间维度上对制造业发展的溢出效应。

本研究结果表明:(1)在2011-2021年期间,虽然中国30个省市制造业发展水平稳步提升,但不同地区间的发展水平呈现显著差异,例如东部地区的制造业发展基础、发展后劲均优于中西部地区,东北地区的制造业高质量发展水平显著低于全国平均水平;(2)基准回归分析结果说明,产品与工艺层面的可持续性技术创新对于我国制造业的高质量发展具有积极而显著的促进作用,并且可持续性产品创新对制造业发展所起到的推动作用,明显地超过了可持续性工艺创新;(3)提升一个地区的可持续技术创新能力,不仅有助于该地区制造业的进一步发展,还能影响到相邻地区制造业的高质量发展,表明我国可持续性技术创新存在显著的空间溢出效应。

英文摘要

Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has maintained a medium-high growth rate for many years under the dual drive of factors and investment. In the face of complex and changing external environment and multiple factors, China's manufacturing has been steadily moving forward - in 2023, the "combination" of steady growth policies is powerful and effective, and the overall scale of China's manufacturing industry has ranked first in the world for 14 consecutive years. However, the rapid expansion of the manufacturing industry has also brought the challenge of technological innovation and the demand for industrial upgrading. Given the new standard, the superior growth of the manufacturing sector is especially vital for the society's overall advancement in quality. Consequently, a thorough investigation into the internal workings of sustainable tech innovation aimed at enhancing the manufacturing industry's quality, along with elucidating the reciprocal influence and geographical ripple effect between sustainable tech innovation and China's manufacturing industry's superior development, is crucial for capitalizing on development prospects, securing new expansion areas, fostering the superior growth of China's manufacturing sector, and propelling its transformation and enhancement.

Initially, the study meticulously gathered pertinent scholarly works on the advancement of high-quality and sustainable technology in the manufacturing sector, both domestically and internationally, dissected the fundamental principles and theoretical underpinnings of such innovation, and investigated the current state and features of China's manufacturing industry's high-quality development and sustainable technological advancements. Seen from a limited perspective, it advocates for the mechanism of sustainable technological advancement that influences the superior growth of the manufacturing sector. Additionally, the research employs panel data from 30 Chinese provinces between 2011 and 2021 to assess the manufacturing industry's high quality across these provinces and cities, conducting a quantitative evaluation of their present developmental state. Consequently, a panel regression analysis model has been developed to empirically examine how sustainable technological advancements impact the superior growth of the manufacturing sector, and to delve deeper into the spatial economic aspects of this high-quality development. A spatial Durbin model has been further formulated following the examination of spatial correlations. Assessing how sustainable tech advancements impact the spatial growth of the manufacturing sector.

Findings from this research indicate that from 2011 to 2021, despite consistent advancements in the manufacturing sector across 30 Chinese provinces and cities, there were notable disparities in the industry's development across various regions. As an illustration, the foundational and developmental progress of the manufacturing sector in the east surpasses that in the central and western areas, with the northeast region's manufacturing industry's high-grade development falling short of the national mean; Baseline regression analysis outcomes reveal that innovation in sustainable technology at both the product and process stages plays a crucial and beneficial role in enhancing China's manufacturing industry's quality, and at the product stage, sustainable technological innovation is more influential in advancing the manufacturing sector than process innovation; Enhancing the capacity of sustainable technology innovation in a region not only aids in the continued growth of the manufacturing industry in that area but also influences the advanced growth of the manufacturing sector in the neighboring areas, signifying a substantial geographical impact of sustainable technology innovation in China.

学位类型硕士
答辩日期2024-05-25
学位授予地点甘肃省兰州市
研究方向经济统计
语种中文
论文总页数75
参考文献总数71
馆藏号0005635
保密级别公开
中图分类号C8/411
文献类型学位论文
条目标识符http://ir.lzufe.edu.cn/handle/39EH0E1M/36877
专题统计与数据科学学院
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
吴春模. 可持续性技术创新对制造业高质量发展的影响研究[D]. 甘肃省兰州市. 兰州财经大学,2024.
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