统计与数据科学学院知识库

黄河流域是中国重要的制造业基地，但制造业“大而不强”“全而不优”的问题始终存在。伴随着时代发展，数字经济已然成为当今世界实现经济发展的重点方向，其所具有的强渗透性特点也使得数字经济能够与传统制造业产业之间形成深度融合，为黄河流域实现制造业高质量发展提供新动力。

论文首先立足理论研究，从宏观、中观、微观三个层面探讨了数字经济如何有效地推动制造业高质量发展；其次，通过分别构建数字经济和制造业高质量发展的测评指标体系，对黄河流域数字经济和制造业高质量发展水平进行了实际的测评分析；最后，运用计量经济模型，实证分析了黄河流域数字经济赋能制造业高质量发展的效应水平。

研究结果表明：一是，黄河流域内各省份在数字经济和制造业高质量发展两方面总体呈现出中等发展水平的特点，而区域内的发展差距则较为明显，黄河中下游地区指标测度的平均值显著高于黄河上游地区；二是，黄河流域的数字经济对传统经济发展具有显著的推动作用，能够有效的直接赋能并促进地区制造业向高质量发展迈进；三是，人力资本这一要素能够作为中介变量可有效地实现数字经济对制造业高质量发展的间接赋能效应；四是，无论直接赋能还是间接赋能效应，在黄河流域内均存在着显著的区域异质性。

根据研究所得结果，并结合实际情况，提出了下列建议：黄河流域各地区应当不断加强数字基础设施建设、持续推进产业数字化和数字产业化以及创新发展，以发挥数字经济对制造业高质量发展的直接赋能作用；同时，还应高度重视人力资本积累，并进一步优化产业结构，从而为数字经济赋能制造业高质量发展奠定坚实基础。

The Yellow River Basin serves as a crucial manufacturing hub in China, yet it grapples with the persistent issue of being "large but not strong" and "comprehensive but not excellent" in the manufacturing sector. In tandem with the progression of time, the digital economy has emerged as a focal point for economic development worldwide. Its characteristic of strong penetration enables a profound integration between the digital economy and traditional manufacturing industries, offering new impetus for achieving high-quality development in manufacturing within the Yellow River Basin.

This paper commences with theoretical exploration, examining how the digital economy can effectively propel high-quality development in manufacturing from macro, meso, and micro perspectives. Subsequently, by constructing evaluation index systems for the digital economy and high-quality development in manufacturing separately, practical assessments of the levels of digital economy and high-quality manufacturing development in the Yellow River Basin are conducted. Finally, employing econometric models, empirical analysis is carried out to investigate the effects of the digital economy empowering high-quality development in manufacturing within the Yellow River Basin.

The findings reveal the following: Firstly, provinces within the Yellow River Basin generally exhibit moderate development levels in both digital economy and high-quality manufacturing, with pronounced disparities in regional development, where average indicator measurements in the mid-to-lower reaches are notably higher than those in the upper reaches. Secondly, the digital economy in the Yellow River Basin exerts a significant driving force on traditional economic development, capable of directly empowering and promoting the transition towards high-quality development in regional manufacturing. Thirdly, human capital acts as a mediating variable that can effectively realize the indirect empowerment effect of the digital economy on high-quality manufacturing development. Fourthly, whether direct or indirect empowerment effects, substantial regional heterogeneity exists within the Yellow River Basin.

Based on the obtained results and in light of the actual situation, the following recommendations are put forward: regions within the Yellow River Basin should continuously strengthen digital infrastructure construction, advance industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, and foster innovation, to leverage the direct empowerment role of the digital economy in high-quality manufacturing development. Simultaneously, significant emphasis should be placed on human capital accumulation, and further optimization of the industrial structure should be pursued, laying a solid foundation for the digital economy to empower high-quality development in manufacturing.