Assessment and prediction of ecosystem services trade-offs and synergies relationships in Gansu Province

	Assessment and prediction of ecosystem services trade-offs and synergies relationships in Gansu Province
其他题名	甘肃省生态系统服务权衡协同关系评估与预测
	Xu, Jing1 ; Liu, Hui2
	2024
发表期刊	Zhongguo Huanjing Kexue/China Environmental Science
卷号	44 期号:4 页码:1863-1874
摘要	Taking Gansu Province as the study region, the land use status of Gansu Province was predicted under four different development scenarios in 2030 by coupling the GMMOP and PLUS model, and the dynamic changes of carbon storage, water yield, soil conservation and habitat quality were assessed quantitatively by using the InVEST model, and the trade-offs and synergies relationships between the ecosystem services were analyzed under different scenarios. The results showed that, from 2000 to 2020, the carbon storage in Gansu Province decreased by 0.081×108t, water yield increased by 3.086×1010m3, soil conservation increased by 33.857×1010t, habitat quality decreased by 0.009. Under the natural development (ND) scenario, all the carbon storage, water yield and habitat quality decreased, with only an increase of soil conservation by 0.310×1010t; under the ecological protection (EP) scenario, carbon storage and soil conservation increased significantly; all four ecosystem services decreased under the economic development (ED) scenario; and in the comprehensive development (CD) scenario, carbon storage increased by 1.307×108t, with the other three services declining. Overall, synergistic relationships were observed between the four ecosystem services in all cities and prefectures of Gansu Province, except for Baiyin City and Jiayuguan City. Under the four scenarios, there was no significant change in the synergistic relationship between carbon storage and water yield, carbon storage and soil conservation, and water yield and soil conservation in most regions. However, under the ND, EP, and CD scenarios, the synergistic relationship between habitat quality and carbon storage, habitat quality and water yield increased, while the synergistic relationship between habitat quality and soil conservation decreased. © 2024 Chinese Society for Environmental Sciences. All rights reserved.
关键词	Commerce Economic and social effects Ecosystems Land use Soils-Carbon storage Ecosystem services Gansu province GMMOP-PLUS model Multi scenarios Multi-scenario simulation Scenario simulations Trade off Trade-offs and synergy Water yield
收录类别	EI
ISSN	1000-6923
语种	中文
出版者	Chinese Society for Environmental Sciences
EI入藏号	20242116119339 ; Soil conservation
EI主题词	Soil conservation
EI分类号	403 Urban and Regional Planning and Development ; 454.3 Ecology and Ecosystems ; 483.1 Soils and Soil Mechanics ; 971 Social Sciences
原始文献类型	Journal article (JA)
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.lzufe.edu.cn/handle/39EH0E1M/36247
专题	农林经济管理学院经济学院
通讯作者	Xu, Jing
作者单位	1.School of Agricultural and Forestry Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics, Lanzhou; 730101, China; 2.School of Economics, Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics, Lanzhou; 730101, China
第一作者单位	农林经济管理学院
通讯作者单位	农林经济管理学院
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xu, Jing,Liu, Hui. Assessment and prediction of ecosystem services trade-offs and synergies relationships in Gansu Province[J]. Zhongguo Huanjing Kexue/China Environmental Science,2024,44(4):1863-1874.
APA	Xu, Jing,&Liu, Hui.(2024).Assessment and prediction of ecosystem services trade-offs and synergies relationships in Gansu Province.Zhongguo Huanjing Kexue/China Environmental Science,44(4),1863-1874.
MLA	Xu, Jing,et al."Assessment and prediction of ecosystem services trade-offs and synergies relationships in Gansu Province".Zhongguo Huanjing Kexue/China Environmental Science 44.4(2024):1863-1874.