国际经济与贸易学院知识库

十九大报告指出，发展经济的着力点必须放在实体经济上。而制造业作为实体经济的主体，其发展影响到中国经济发展的整体大局。中国制造业凭借资源禀赋和丰富的劳动力等优势实现了持续发展，但制造业在发展过程中存在“大而不强”的问题。而生产性服务业作为与制造业联系最密切的行业，通过为制造业各个环节提供技术支持和质量保障来促进行业的发展。随着对外开放进程的不断深化，生产性服务业FDI流入的范围得以扩大，这将极大地激发制造业的出口潜力。基于此，本文试图探究生产性服务业FDI流入对制造业出口竞争力的具体影响，这对制造业高质量发展具有重要的意义。
基于已梳理的相关文献，本文首先从总体规模、细分行业发展以及区域分布的角度分析了中国生产性服务业FDI流入的发展现状。同时，利用贸易增加值的核算方法计算得到制造业总体和细分行业的出口竞争力，并以制造业细分行业工业产值所占比重加权得到省级的制造业出口竞争力。其次，本文从制造业生产成本、制造业技术创新和本土生产性服务业发展三方面来分析生产性服务业FDI流入对中国制造业出口竞争力的影响机制。再次，通过构建面板数据模型来研究生产性服务业FDI流入对中国制造业出口竞争力的具体影响，结果表现为正向促进。本文还分行业和分地区进行异质性分析，得到东部地区生产性服务业FDI流入的促进作用大于中西部地区；技术密集型生产性服务业FDI流入的促进作用小于劳动密集型生产性服务业。另外，本文对基准回归结果进行稳健性检验和内生性处理，结果表明基本结论具有一定的稳定性。针对影响机制，本文进行中介效应检验，结果表明生产性服务业FDI流入通过推动制造业技术创新以及倒逼本土生产性服务业发展来提升制造业出口竞争力的中介效应更显著。最后，针对现状和实证分析得到的结论，本文提出提高制造业企业的技术创新能力；积极促进本土生产性服务业的发展；促进生产性服务业与制造业的融合发展；逐步扩大高端生产性服务业的开放；优化吸引生产性服务业外资的投资环境。

The report of the 19th National Congress pointed out that the focus of economic development must be on the real economy. As the main body of the real economy, the development of the manufacturing industry affects the overall situation of China's economic development. China's manufacturing industry has achieved sustainable development with advantages such as resource endowment and abundant labor force, but there is a problem of "large but not strong" in the development process of the manufacturing industry. As the industry with the closest connection to the manufacturing industry, the productive service industry promotes its development by providing technical support and quality assurance for all aspects of the manufacturing industry. With the deepening of the process of opening up to the outside world, the scope of FDI inflows into productive services has been expanded, which will greatly stimulate the export potential of the manufacturing industry. Based on this, this article attempts to explore the specific impact mechanism of FDI inflows into producer services on the export competitiveness of the manufacturing industry, which is of great significance for the high-quality development of the manufacturing industry. 
Based on the relevant literature that has been sorted out, this paper first analyzes the development status of FDI inflows into China's producer services industry from the perspective of overall scale, industry development, and regional distribution. At the same time, using the accounting method of trade value added, the export competitiveness of the overall and segmented manufacturing industries is calculated, and the provincial export competitiveness of the manufacturing industry is obtained by weighting the proportion of industrial output in the segmented manufacturing industries. Secondly, this paper analyzes the impact mechanism of FDI inflows into producer services on China's manufacturing export competitiveness from three aspects: manufacturing production costs, manufacturing technological innovation, and the development of local producer services. Thirdly, by constructing a panel data model to study the specific impact of FDI inflows into productive services on the export competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry, the results show a positive promotion. This paper also conducts a heterogeneity analysis by industry and region, and finds that the promotion effect of FDI inflows in productive services in the eastern region is greater than that in the central and western regions. And the promotion effect of FDI inflows in technology intensive producer services is smaller than that in labor intensive producer services. In addition, this paper conducts robustness testing and endogenous processing on the benchmark regression results, and the results show that the basic conclusions have a certain degree of stability. Regarding the impact mechanism, this paper conducts a mediating effect test, and the results show that the mediating effect of FDI inflows into producer services is more significant by promoting technological innovation in the manufacturing industry and forcing the development of local producer services to enhance the export competitiveness of the manufacturing industry. Finally, based on the current situation and the conclusions of empirical analysis, this paper proposes to improve the technological innovation ability of manufacturing enterprises. Promote the development of local productive services actively. Promote the integration and development of productive services and manufacturing industries.  Expand the opening up of high-end producer services gradually. Optimize the investment environment for attracting foreign investment in productive services.