Prediction of novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic trend based on ARIMA model

doi:10.1117/12.2642624

	Prediction of novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic trend based on ARIMA model
	Wang, Yuzhen1 ; Qin, Jingqiao2
	2022
会议名称	2022 International Conference on Cloud Computing, Internet of Things, and Computer Applications, CICA 2022
会议录名称	Proceedings of SPIE - The International Society for Optical Engineering
卷号	12303
会议日期	April 22, 2022 - April 24, 2022
会议地点	Luoyang, China
会议录编者/会议主办者	Academic Exchange Information Center (AEIC)
出版者	SPIE
摘要	In order to improve the speed and efficiency of the Department of epidemic prevention and control, this paper uses ARIMA model to train and fit the number of confirmed cases on the basis of the historical epidemic diagnosis information of Guangdong Province. By dealing with the stability of time series, determining the parameters of ARIMA model and testing residual white noise, the ARIMA model is established to predict the number of confirmed epidemic cases, and the number of confirmed epidemic cases in March may 2021 in Guangdong Province is accurately predicted, so as to help the epidemic prevention and control departments improve the accuracy and effectiveness of epidemic control. © 2022 SPIE.
关键词	Disease control Forecasting White noise ARIMA models Coronaviruses Diagnosis information Epidemic control Epidemic situation Forecast Guangdong Province Prevention and controls Scientific management Times series
DOI	10.1117/12.2642624
收录类别	EI
语种	英语
EI入藏号	20223612679263
EI主题词	Coronavirus
EI分类号	461.6 Medicine and Pharmacology
原始文献类型	Conference article (CA)
文献类型	会议论文
条目标识符	http://ir.lzufe.edu.cn/handle/39EH0E1M/33062
专题	信息工程与人工智能学院
作者单位	1.Silk Road Economic Research Institute, Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics, College of Information Engineering, Lanzhou, China; 2.College of Information Engineering, Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics, Lanzhou, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, Yuzhen,Qin, Jingqiao. Prediction of novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic trend based on ARIMA model[C]//Academic Exchange Information Center (AEIC):SPIE,2022.