作者王星星
姓名汉语拼音WANG XING XING
学号2019000001005
培养单位兰州财经大学
电话18700918643
电子邮件2711572402@qq.com
入学年份2019-9
学位类别学术硕士
培养级别硕士研究生
学科门类经济学
一级学科名称应用经济学
学科方向劳动经济学
学科代码020207
授予学位经济学硕士学位
第一导师姓名陈冲
第一导师姓名汉语拼音CHEN CHONG
第一导师单位兰州财经大学
第一导师职称教授
题名高铁开通对我国城镇居民消费水平的影响研究
英文题名Research on the Impact of the Opening of High-speed Rail on the Consumption Level of Urban Residents
关键词高速铁路 城镇居民消费 作用机制 双重差分模型
外文关键词High speed railway ; Consumption level of urban residents ; Mechanism ; DID
摘要

    党的十九大报告中指出“完善促进消费的体制机制,增强消费对经济发展的基础性作用”,消费再次成为政府关注的焦点。自1978年我国实行改革开放以来,我国城镇居民的消费水平不断提升,消费对于我国的经济发展也一直起到了十分重要的推动作用。因而,研究影响消费的因素,探索居民消费提升的新途径已成为扩大居民消费增长的重要工作。从过往发展经验可知,交通基础设施对经济社会的发展、以及居民生活水平的提升有很大的促进作用。高铁,是交通基础设施的一次重大转变。除了可以使得中心城市的金融等资源更有效率地流向外围中小城市之外,还能够极大地降低相邻城市间的壁垒,使得消费市场从原来的一元市场扩充为多元市场,进而影响居民的消费水平。回顾以往文献,大多数的文章也主要关注交通基础设施对消费的影响,从高铁视角对居民消费需求影响的文献还十分匮乏。因而,本文将研究重点定位为高铁开通对城镇居民消费水平的影响,对于推动高铁的建设以及消费经济学的发展提供重要的参考依据。

    本文首先梳理了目前学术界关于高铁开通对城镇居民消费水平的相关研究,紧接着对目前我国高铁和城镇居民消费水平的发展现状及存在的问题进行了描述与分析。并从金融溢出效应和市场融合效应两个视角分析了高铁开通对城镇居民消费水平的作用机制。实证部分将高铁开通看作“准自然实验”,采用2006-2019年我国278个地级市的面板数据,构建双重差分模型检验高铁开通对于城镇居民消费水平所带来的影响。并进行了一系列的平行趋势检验、反事实检验、内生性检验。同时对本文的作用机制进行了检验,最后基于城市等级和城市所处区域的不同进行了异质性分析。实证结果表明:第一,高铁开通对城镇居民消费水平产生了积极的影响。高铁开通后,城镇居民消费水平平均提高10.9%。第二,高铁的开通对于城镇居民消费水平的影响效果呈现显著的城市等级与区位异质性。高铁开通对一线、新一线和二线城市城镇居民消费水平的影响系数绝对值与显著性要大于对三线、四线和五线城市城镇居民消费水平的影响,且高铁开通对东部地区城市城镇居民消费水平的影响系数绝对值与显著性要大于对中西部地区城市城镇居民消费水平的影响。第三,高铁开通可以通过金融溢出效应和市场融合效应提高城镇居民消费水平。最后一章,针对本文的实证结果提出了对策建议。建议政府加强高速铁路网络的建设,不断扩大网络覆盖范围和优化高铁线路网。在建设的过程中要更加侧重于中西部的铁路建设,以及应采取相应的措施减少高铁开通所带来的虹吸效应的负面影响。

英文摘要

        The report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China pointed out that "improving the system and mechanism for promoting consumption and enhancing the basic role of consumption in economic development", consumption has once again become the focus of government attention. Since my country's reform and opening up in 1978, the consumption level of urban residents in my country has been continuously improved, and consumption has always played a very important role in promoting my country's economic development. Therefore, studying the factors that affect consumption and exploring new ways to increase residents' consumption has become an important task to expand the growth of residents' consumption. From past development experience, it can be seen that transportation infrastructure has a great role in promoting economic and social development and the improvement of residents' living standards. High-speed rail is a major transformation of transportation infrastructure. In addition to making the financial and other resources of the central city flow more efficiently to the peripheral small and medium cities, it can also greatly reduce the barriers between adjacent cities, so that the consumer market expands from the original one-dimensional market to a multi-market one, which in turn affects the consumption of residents. level. Looking back at the previous literature, most of the articles mainly focus on the impact of transportation infrastructure on consumption, and the literature on the impact of high-speed rail on residents' consumption demand is still very scarce. Therefore, this paper will focus on the impact of the opening of high-speed rail on the consumption level of urban residents, and provide an important reference for promoting the construction of high-speed rail and the development of consumer economics.

        This paper first sorts out the current academic research on the consumption level of urban residents caused by the opening of high-speed rail, and then describes and analyzes the current development status and existing problems of my country's high-speed rail and urban residents' consumption level. And from the perspective of financial spillover effect and market integration effect, the mechanism of the opening of high-speed rail on the consumption level of urban residents is analyzed. The empirical part regards the opening of high-speed rail as a "quasi-natural experiment", and uses the panel data of 278 prefecture-level cities in my country from 2006 to 2019 to construct a double-difference model to test the impact of the opening of high-speed rail on the consumption level of urban residents. And a series of parallel trend tests, counterfactual tests, and endogeneity tests are carried out. At the same time, the mechanism of action of this paper is tested, and finally, the heterogeneity analysis is carried out based on the difference of city level and the area where the city is located. The empirical results show that: First, the opening of high-speed rail has had a positive impact on the consumption level of urban residents. After the opening of the high-speed rail, the consumption level of urban residents increased by an average of 10.9%.Second, the effect of the opening of high-speed rail on the consumption level of urban residents shows significant heterogeneity of city level and location. The absolute value and significance of the impact coefficient of the opening of high-speed rail on the consumption level of urban residents in first-tier, new first-tier and second-tier cities is greater than the impact on the consumption level of urban residents in third-tier, fourth-tier and fifth-tier cities. Moreover, the absolute value and significance of the influence coefficient of the opening of high-speed rail on the consumption level of urban residents in the eastern region are greater than the impact on the consumption level of urban residents in the central and western regions. Third, the opening of high-speed rail can improve the consumption level of urban residents through financial spillover effects and market integration effects. In the last chapter, some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward according to the empirical results of this paper. It is recommended that the government strengthen the construction of the high-speed railway network, continuously expand the network coverage and optimize the high-speed railway line network. In the process of construction, more emphasis should be placed on railway construction in the central and western regions, and corresponding measures should be taken to reduce the negative impact of the siphon effect brought about by the opening of high-speed railways.

学位类型硕士
答辩日期2022-05-21
学位授予地点甘肃省兰州市
语种中文
论文总页数66
参考文献总数49
馆藏号0004073
保密级别公开
中图分类号F240/28
文献类型学位论文
条目标识符http://ir.lzufe.edu.cn/handle/39EH0E1M/32801
专题经济学院
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
王星星. 高铁开通对我国城镇居民消费水平的影响研究[D]. 甘肃省兰州市. 兰州财经大学,2022.
条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小 文献类型 版本类型 开放类型 使用许可
2019000001005王星星.pdf(2702KB)学位论文 暂不开放CC BY-NC-SA请求全文
个性服务
查看访问统计
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[王星星]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[王星星]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[王星星]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。