统计与数据科学学院知识库

  我国经过长达40多年的发展，GDP总量已居于世界前列，在工业发展中，也实现了由小到大，由弱到强的跨越，新兴工业行业的兴起使得我国工业体系逐渐完善，在工业快速发展至今的基础上，实现工业高质量发展成为我国工业发展的主要任务。与此同时，生态环境不断恶化使得在工业生产过程中进行环境规制变得尤为重要。因此，环境规制对工业高质量发展产生的影响值得探索。

       本文使用2009-2019年全国除西藏外30个省市的面板数据，通过纵横向拉开档次法、空间计量模型、门槛模型、中介效应模型等方法，在我国工业高质量发展现状、环境规制强度演变、环境规制对工业高质量发展的作用力及作用方式等方面进行相应研究，得到如下结论：

       各省份的工业高质量发展综合得分整体呈现逐年上升的趋势，东、中、西部地区在工业整体高质量发展以及五个要素方面均存在显著差异，东部地区领先于中西部地区；东部的许多省份兼具较高的工业发展质量与速度，但在中西部地区，大部分省份仍处于工业发展质量和速度双重落后的状态中。地区工业高质量发展存在显著的空间相关关系，工业发展质量相似的地区，在地理上也呈现空间集聚的特点；环境规制强度的增加能够有效促进工业高质量发展，从空间上来看，不同类型的环境规制在对工业高质量发展的影响中均产生显著为正的直接效应和显著为负的溢出效应，增加环境规制的强度能够有效促进本地区工业高质量发展，但也会通过负向的空间溢出作用抑制其他地区的工业高质量发展。在此基础上，技术创新与产业结构的不同相对发展度会使得环境规制在工业高质量发展过程中产生不同的作用效果，环境规制在技术创新水平较弱的地区对工业高质量发展产生的推动作用也较弱，但随着技术创新能力继续不断加强，会使得生产效率提高，环境规制对工业高质量发展的作用力提升；同时，环境规制能够通对技术创新产生影响，进而影响工业高质量发展，但技术创新并不是环境规制影响工业高质量发展过程中唯一的中介变量，在环境规制促进工业高质量发展的过程中，还存在许多值得探索的路径。

    After more than 40 years of development, China’s GDP has already among the top on the world. In the industrial development, realized from small to big, from weak to strong leap. The rise of the new industrial industry makes China's industrial system gradually perfect, on the basis of the rapid development of industry so far, to achieve high-quality industrial development has become the main task of China's current industrial development. At the same time, the continuous deterioration of ecological environment makes environmental regulation become particularly important in the process of industrial production. Therefore, the impact of environmental regulation on high-quality industrial development is worth exploring.

      This article uses the country except Tibet in 2009-2019 panel data of 30 provinces and cities, through the “vertical and horizontal” method, spatial econometric model, threshold model and the intermediary effect model, high-quality in China's industry development present situation, environmental regulation, environmental regulation intensity evolution mode of industrial action and function of development of high quality research. Accordingly, the conclusions are as follows:

      Provinces of high-quality industrial development overall scores showed a trend of rising year by year, the eastern, central and western areas in the overall industrial quality development exist significant differences, as well as five elements. Ahead of the eastern region development in central and western regions; Many provinces in the east have high industrial development quality and speed, but in the central and western regions, most provinces are still in the state of double backward industrial development quality and speed. There is a significant spatial correlation between high quality industrial development in different regions. The regions with similar industrial development quality also show the characteristics of spatial agglomeration; The increase of environmental regulation intensity can effectively promote high-quality industrial development. From the perspective of space, different types of environmental regulations have a significant positive direct effect and a significant negative spillover effect on the impact of high-quality industrial development. Increasing the intensity of environmental regulation can effectively promote high-quality industrial development in the region. However, it also inhibits the high-quality industrial development in other areas through negative spatial spillovers. On this basis, technological innovation and development of industrial structure of different relative degrees will make environmental regulation in the process of industrial development of high-quality produce different effects. Environmental regulation will have a weaker driving effect on high quality industrial development in areas with weak technological innovation level. But with the continued to strengthen technological innovation ability, can make production more efficient, environmental regulation for the development of the industry high quality force. At the same time, environmental regulation can have an impact on technological innovation, and then affect the high-quality development of industry, but technological innovation is not the only intermediary variable in the process of environmental regulation affecting the high-quality development of industry, there are many ways worth exploring in the process of environmental regulation promoting the high-quality development of industry.