资源衰退型城市“经济-社会-环境”复合系统耦合协调发展研究

LZUFE-KMS > 经济学院

作者	吴鑫悦
姓名汉语拼音	Wu Xinyue
学号	2019000001021
培养单位	兰州财经大学
电话	18047015108
电子邮件	3235108776@qq.com
入学年份	2019-9
学位类别	学术硕士
培养级别	硕士研究生
学科门类	经济学
一级学科名称	理论经济学
学科方向	人口、资源与环境经济学
学科代码	020106
授予学位	经济学硕士
第一导师姓名	许静
第一导师姓名汉语拼音	Xu Jing
第一导师单位	兰州财经大学
第一导师职称	教授
题名	资源衰退型城市“经济-社会-环境”复合系统耦合协调发展研究
英文题名	Study on the coupling and coordinated development of "economy-society- environment" composite system in resource declining cities
关键词	资源衰退型城市 “经济-社会-环境”复合系统耦合协调度障碍因子
外文关键词	Resource declining City ; "Economy-society-environment" composite system ; Coupling coordination degree ; Obstacle factor
摘要	长期以来，资源衰退型城市凭借丰富的自然资源得以迅速发展，但由于资源的不可再生性、单一的产业结构、粗放化的生产方式等因素的制约，资源优势逐渐转化为资源劣势，形成了“资源诅咒”，导致在经济、社会、环境方面发展失调。2013 年国务院印发《全国资源型城市可持续发展规划（2013-2020 年）》，指出到 2020 年要基本完成资源衰退型城市的转型任务。现阶段资源衰退型城市转型发展已基本完成，经济、社会、环境系统的平衡协调发展成为重中之重。本文基于协调发展理论与可持续发展理论，以 2009-2018 年间 23 个典型资源衰退型城市为研究对象，分析我国资源衰退型城市经济、社会、环境系统协调水平，旨在促进资源衰退型城市经济社会与生态环境的可持续发展。首先，在文献资料分析的基础上，从经济、社会、环境系统中选取 21 个指标，构建协调发展评价指标体系，然后测算出各子系统的综合发展指数，及“经济-社会-环境”复合系统的耦合协调度，同时对比分析典型资源衰退型城市与区域综合型城市的耦合协调水平，最后引入障碍度模型分析制约协调发展的主要障碍因子。结果表明： ⑴ 2009-2018 年期间，资源衰退型城市经济、社会、环境各子系统的发展水平较低且无显著的年际间变化，与 2009 年相比，2018 年的平均经济发展指数与平均环境发展指数分别仅上升了 0.72%、4.06%，平均社会发展指数整体呈下降趋势，与 2009 年相比 2018 年该指数缩减 21.58%，与全国层面各系统平均发展水平具有相对较大的差距；从整体上而言，我国资源衰退型城市的“经济-社会-环境”发展耦合协调度水呈现逐渐下降的趋势，2018 年平均耦合协调度为0.59，与 2009 年相比下降了 4.84%。 ⑵ 各城市间的协调水平存在较大差距，2009 年在 23 个主要的资源衰退型城市中，“经济-社会-环境”耦合协调度大于 0.7，即处于良好协调水平的城市有 6 个，分别为：铜陵、韶关、枣庄、焦作、新余、抚顺市，其中最高的为铜陵市，耦合协调度为 0.75；2018 年，各资源衰退型城市中，“经济-社会-环境”耦合协调度小于 0.55，即处于严重失调的城市有 8 个，分别是：抚顺、辽源、白山、伊春、鹤岗、双鸭山、七台河、白银市，其中白银市最低，耦合协调度仅有 0.49；从 2009-2018 年资源衰退型城市耦合协调十年的平均发展水平看，耦合协调度排名前三的城市是铜陵市、焦作市和新余市，耦合协调度分别为 0.73、0.72、0.68，而耦合协调度最低的三座城市是白银市、七台河市、鹤岗市，耦合协调度分别为 0.46、0.47、0.51。 ⑶ 在资源衰退型城市与区域综合型城市对比中可发现，区域综合型城市的“经济-社会-环境”发展耦合协调度水平较高，在 2009-2018 年间，耦合协调度都达到了 0.7 以上的水平，即良好协调等级。2009-2015 年，资源衰退型城市的平均耦合协调度指数在 0.60~0.65 之间，属于濒临失调状态，2015 年以后，耦合协调度持续下降至 0.6 以下，系统协调度进一步降低转变为中度失调状态。 ⑷ 根据资源衰退型城市的障碍类型，可分为经济障碍类、社会障碍类、环境障碍类资源衰退型城市，其中经济障碍类有乌海市、阜新市、伊春市、鹤岗市、双鸭山市、铜陵市、景德镇市、铜川市、白银市、石嘴山市（10 个），社会障碍类有辽源市、七台河市、淮北市、新余市、萍乡市、枣庄市、濮阳市、泸州市（8 个），环境障碍类有抚顺市、白山市、焦作市、黄石市、韶关市（5 个）。各子系统的单因素诊断中，当年实际利用外资、人均城市道路面积和科技支出占比、人均公园绿地面积分别为经济、社会、环境系统的最重要的影响因子。
英文摘要	For a long time, resource declining cities have developed rapidly with rich natural resources. However, due to the constraints of non-renewable resources, single industrial structure, extensive production mode and other factors, resource advantages have gradually transformed into resource disadvantages, forming a "resource curse", resulting in the imbalance of development in economy, society and environment. In 2013, the State Council issued the national sustainable development plan for resource-based cities (2013-2020), which pointed out that the transformation task of resource declining cities should be basically completed by 2020. At this stage, the transformation and development of resource declining cities has been basically completed, and the balanced and coordinated development of economic, social and environmental systems has become the top priority. Based on the theory of coordinated development and sustainable development, taking 23 typical resource declining cities from 2009 to 2018 as the research object, this paper analyzes the coordination level of economic, social and environmental systems of resource declining cities in China, in order to promote the sustainable development of economic society and ecological environment of resource declining cities. Firstly, on the basis of literature analysis, 21 indicators are selected from the economic, social and environmental systems to build a coordinated development evaluation index system, and then the comprehensive development index of each subsystem and the coupling and coordination of the "economy-society-environment" composite system are calculated. At the same time, the coupling and coordination level of typical resource declining cities and regional comprehensive cities is compared and analyzed. Finally, the obstacle degree model is introduced to analyze the main obstacle factors restricting coordinated development. The results show that: (1) From 2009 to 2018, the development level of economic, social and environmental subsystems in resource declining cities was low and there was no significant interannual change. Compared with 2009, the average economic development index and average environmental development index in 2018 increased by only 0.72% and 4.06% respectively. The average social development index showed a downward trend as a whole, and the index decreased by 21.58% compared with 2009. There is a relatively large gap with the average development level of all systems at the national level; On the whole, the "economy-society-environment" development coupling coordination degree of China's resource declining cities showed a gradual downward trend. The average coupling coordination degree in 2018 was 0.59, a decrease of 4.84% compared with 2009. (2) There is a large gap in the coordination level among cities. In 2009, among the 23 major resource declining cities, the coupling coordination degree of "economy society environment" was greater than 0.7, that is, there were 6 cities at a good coordination level, namely Tongling, Shaoguan, Zaozhuang, Jiaozuo, Xinyu and Fushun, of which Tongling was the highest with a coupling coordination degree of 0.75; In 2018, among the resource declining cities, the "economy society environment" coupling coordination degree was less than 0.55, that is, there were 8 cities in serious imbalance, namely Fushun, Liaoyuan, Baishan, Yichun, Hegang, Shuangyashan, Qitaihe and Baiyin, of which Baiyin was the lowest and the coupling coordination was only 0.49; From the average development level of coupling and coordination of resource declining cities in the past ten years from 2009 to 2018, the top three cities with coupling and coordination degree are Tongling, Jiaozuo and Xinyu, with coupling and coordination degrees of 0.73, 0.72 and 0.68 respectively, while the three cities with the lowest coupling and coordination degree are Baiyin, Qitaihe and Hegang, with coupling and coordination degrees of 0.46, 0.47 and 0.51 respectively. (3) In the comparison between resource declining cities and regional comprehensive cities, it can be found that the coupling coordination degree of "economy-society-environment" development of regional comprehensive cities is high. From 2009 to 2018, the coupling coordination degree reached more than 0.7, that is, the level of good coordination. From 2009 to 2015, the average coupling coordination index of resource declining cities was between 0.60 and 0.65,which was on the verge of imbalance. After 2015, the coupling coordination degree continued to drop below 0.6, and the system coordination degree further decreased to a moderate imbalance state. (4) According to the obstacle types of resource declining cities, they can be divided into economic obstacles, social obstacles and environmental obstacles. Economic obstacles include Wuhai, Fuxin, Yichun, Hegang, Shuangyashan, Tongling, Jingdezhen, Tongchuan, Baiyin and Shizuishan (10), while social barriers include Liaoyuan, Qitaihe, Huaibei, Xinyu, Pingxiang, Zaozhuang, Puyang and Luzhou (8), resource declining cities include Fushun, Baishan, Jiaozuo, Huangshi and Shaoguan (5). In the single factor diagnosis of each subsystem, the actual utilization of foreign capital in that year, the per capita urban road area and the proportion of science and technology expenditure, the per capita park green space area are the most important influencing factors of the economic, social and environmental system respectively.
学位类型	硕士
答辩日期	2022-05-21
学位授予地点	甘肃省兰州市
研究方向	生态经济与可持续发展
语种	中文
论文总页数	64
插图总数	4
插表总数	11
参考文献总数	86
馆藏号	0004088
保密级别	公开
中图分类号	F062.1/50
文献类型	学位论文
条目标识符	http://ir.lzufe.edu.cn/handle/39EH0E1M/32353
专题	经济学院
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	吴鑫悦. 资源衰退型城市“经济-社会-环境”复合系统耦合协调发展研究[D]. 甘肃省兰州市. 兰州财经大学,2022.

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