Institutional Repository of School of Statistics
作者 | 马珠屏 |
姓名汉语拼音 | Ma Zhuping |
学号 | 2019000003018 |
培养单位 | 兰州财经大学 |
电话 | 17778887443 |
电子邮件 | mazhuping0213@163.com |
入学年份 | 2019-9 |
学位类别 | 学术硕士 |
培养级别 | 硕士研究生 |
学科门类 | 经济学 |
一级学科名称 | 应用经济学 |
学科方向 | 数量经济学 |
学科代码 | 020209 |
授予学位 | 经济学硕士 |
第一导师姓名 | 韩海波 |
第一导师姓名汉语拼音 | Han Haibo |
第一导师单位 | 兰州财经大学统计学院 |
第一导师职称 | 副教授 |
题名 | 甘肃省高质量发展动态综合评价 |
英文题名 | Comprehensive evaluation of high quality development in Gansu Province |
关键词 | 甘肃省+综合评价方法+稳定性检验+高质量发展+断点识别 |
外文关键词 | Gansu Province+Comprehensive evaluation method+Stability test+High-quality development+Breakpoint identification |
摘要 | 十九大以来,我国经济已由高速增长阶段转向高质量发展阶段。高质量发展是新时代我国经济社会发展的主基调。2019年,党中央明确提出了黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展的目标任务,并将其定为重大国家战略,那么,作为黄河流域上游的重点省区,甘肃省如何实现高质量发展,是我们长期要面临和考虑的重大课题。 本文围绕甘肃省高质量发展的综合评价问题展开研究,系统梳理经济高质量发展研究成果,以新发展理念为背景,从创新发展、协调发展、绿色发展、开放发展和共享发展五大方面构建甘肃省高质量发展指标体系,基于2011—2019年甘肃省12市(甘南和临夏两州除外)的市域面板数据,通过多种赋权和综合评价方法的比较,选出相对最稳定的综合评价方法,测算五大发展以及高质量发展综合评价指数,再以评价指数作为被解释变量构建断点回归模型找到高质量发展随时间变化产生的断点,进一步对甘肃省高质量发展做出动态评价。得到以下结论:(1)通过对几种常见的综合评价方法的稳定性评估,针对本文研究的问题,最稳定的方法为CRITIC-TOPSIS综合评价方法;(2)2011-2019年,甘肃省高质量发展水平总体上呈现上升的趋势;(3)受地域因素影响,甘肃省12市(甘南和临夏州两州除外),高质量发展水平地域差距较大,发展较不平衡,得分较高的城市主要位于河西走廊地区(张掖、武威、酒泉、金昌、嘉峪关五市)与省会城市(兰州),而得分较低的城市主要分布在崎岖山地。(4)甘肃省在2012年初现高质量发展态势,共享发展水平有明显的跳跃,2014年甘肃省开放发展指数显著提升。这与一系列政策变动有很大的关系。最后着眼于补短板、强弱项、提质效,就甘肃贯彻新发展理念,推动高质量发展提几点“甘肃建议”。 |
英文摘要 | Since the Nineteenth National Congress, China's economy has shifted from a stage of high-speed growth to a stage of high-quality development. High-quality development is the main tone of China's economic and social development in the new era. In 2019, the Party Central Committee clearly put forward the goals and tasks of ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin, and set it as a major national strategy, so as a key province in the upper reaches of the Yellow River Basin, how to achieve high-quality development in Gansu Province is a major issue that we have to face and consider for a long time. This paper focuses on the comprehensive evaluation of high-quality development in Gansu Province, systematically sorts out the research results of high-quality economic development, takes the new development concept as the background, constructs the high-quality development index system of Gansu Province from the five aspects of innovative development, coordinated development, green development, open development and shared development, based on the municipal panel data of 12 cities in Gansu Province (except Gannan and Linxia Prefectures) from 2011 to 2019, and selects the most stable comprehensive evaluation method through the comparison of various empowerment and comprehensive evaluation methods. The comprehensive evaluation index of the five major developments and high-quality development is calculated, and then the evaluation index is used as the explanatory variable to construct a breakpoint regression model to find the breakpoint generated by the change of high-quality development over time, and further make a dynamic evaluation of the high-quality development of Gansu Province.The following conclusions were obtained: (1) through the stability assessment of several common comprehensive evaluation methods, the most stable method for the problems studied in this paper is the CRITIC-TOPSIS comprehensive evaluation method; (2) from 2011 to 2019, the overall level of high-quality development in Gansu Province showed an upward trend; (3) Affected by regional factors, the high-quality development level of 12 cities(except Gannan and Linxia Prefectures))in Gansu Province has a large geographical gap, the development is more unbalanced, and the cities with higher scores are mainly located in the Hexi Corridor area (Zhangye, Wuwei, Jiuquan, Jinchang and Jiayuguan) and the provincial capital (Lanzhou), while the cities with lower scores are mainly distributed in rugged mountains. (4) Gansu Province showed a high-quality development trend in early 2012, and there was a significant jump in the level of shared development, and the gansu province's opening up development index in 2014 increased significantly. This has a lot to do with a series of policy changes. Finally, focusing on making up for shortcomings, strengthening and weak items, and improving quality and efficiency, Gansu put forward a few "Gansu Suggestions" on implementing the new development concept and promoting high-quality development. |
学位类型 | 硕士 |
答辩日期 | 2022-05-15 |
学位授予地点 | 甘肃省兰州市 |
语种 | 中文 |
论文总页数 | 69 |
参考文献总数 | 59 |
馆藏号 | 0004148 |
保密级别 | 公开 |
中图分类号 | F224.0/70 |
文献类型 | 学位论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.lzufe.edu.cn/handle/39EH0E1M/32331 |
专题 | 统计与数据科学学院 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | 马珠屏. 甘肃省高质量发展动态综合评价[D]. 甘肃省兰州市. 兰州财经大学,2022. |
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