统计与数据科学学院知识库

  随着我国社会发展进入新时代，区域发展也进入了新的发展阶段，即已由高速增长阶段转向高质量发展阶段。党的十九大报告对当前我国社会主要矛盾作出新表述，强调“中国特色社会主义进入新时代，我国社会主要矛盾已经转化为人民日益增长的美好生活需要和不平衡不充分的发展之间的矛盾”，并指出现阶段要解决好区域发展不平衡不充分问题，必须坚持五大发展理念，特别是绿色、共享的发展理念。论文从定量角度，对我国区域绿色发展水平差异进行科学测度及时空演变特征分析，从而科学识别区域绿色发展水平差异及演变规律，揭示我国区域绿色发展的现状与问题，提出切实有效的建议与对策，进而可以对未来我国区域绿色协调发展提供一定的政策依据。

  论文以生态文明理论、生态经济学理论、区域协调发展理论和生态位理论为指导，以我国30省市自治区为研究对象，以2010—2019年面板数据为基础，对我国区域绿色发展差异性特征展开研究。首先，参考绿色发展与区域差异相关研究，构建了经济发展、绿色生态、基础设施和绿色生活四个子系统层共51个具体指标的我国绿色发展水平评价指标体系；其次，基于生态位理论构建绿色发展生态位态势模型对我国30省市自治区绿色发展及四个子系统层发展水平进行综合评价，分析了绿色发展综合指数及四个子系统层指数发展现状与趋势；再次，通过改进泰尔指数及其分解公式并结合计算得到的生态位构建及测算绿色发展生态位泰尔指数，从全国和东中西三大地带视角进一步揭示我国区域绿色发展差异及其来源；接着，借助莫兰指数和莫兰散点图从空间相关性角度分析了我国绿色发展水平的区域集聚程度，考察了30省市自治区绿色发展水平的空间差异；最后，对我国区域绿色发展水平进行收敛性分析，揭示了我国绿色发展水平区域差异的演化趋势。

        As China's social development has entered a new era, regional development has also entered a new stage of development, that is, it has changed from the stage of high-speed growth to the stage of high-quality development. The report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China made a new statement on the current main social contradictions in China, emphasizing that "as socialism with Chinese characteristics enters a new era, the main social contradictions in China have been transformed into the contradiction between the people's growing needs for a better life and unbalanced and insufficient development", and pointed out that in order to solve the problem of unbalanced and insufficient regional development at the emerging stage, we must adhere to the five development concepts, especially the concept of green and shared development. From a quantitative perspective, this thesis scientifically measures the differences of regional green development level in China and analyzes the characteristics of temporal and spatial evolution, so as to scientifically identify the differences and evolution laws of regional green development level, reveal the current situation and problems of regional green development in China, and put forward practical and effective suggestions and countermeasures, which can provide a certain policy basis for the coordinated development of regional green in China in the future.

        Under the guidance of ecological civilization theory, ecological economics theory, regional coordinated development theory and niche theory, taking 30 provinces and autonomous regions of China as the research object and based on the panel data from 2010 to 2019, this thesis studies the differential characteristics of regional green development in China. Firstly, referring to the research on green development and regional differences, this thesis constructs an evaluation index system of China's green development level with 51 specific indicators in four subsystem levels: economic development, green ecology, infrastructure and green life; Secondly, based on the niche theory, this thesis constructs the niche situation model of green development, comprehensively evaluates the green development and the development level of four subsystem levels in 30 provinces and autonomous regions of China, and analyzes the development status and trend of green development comprehensive index and four subsystem level index; Thirdly, by improving the Theil index and its decomposition formula, combined with the calculated niche construction and calculating the green development niche Theil index, this thesis further reveals the differences and sources of regional green development in China from the perspective of the whole country, the East, the middle and the West; Then, with the help of Moran index and Moran scatter diagram, this thesis analyzes the regional agglomeration degree of China's green development level from the perspective of spatial correlation, and investigates the spatial differences of green development level in 30 provinces and autonomous regions; Finally, the convergence analysis of China's regional green development level reveals the evolution trend of regional differences in China's green development level.