经济学院知识库

  从2015年我国实行史上最严环保法，到2020年提出坚决打赢污染防治攻坚战，再到党中央最新公布的“十四五”规划中，着重强调了到2035年我们不仅要实现生态环境基本好转，还要努力将现代化建设为人与自然和谐共生的现代化，释放出了实施最严格环保政策的积极信号。这就要求我们不仅要始终遵循“绿水青山就是金山银山”的可持续发展理念，而且还要通过彻底摆脱高耗能、高排放的生产模式来实现经济社会的可持续健康发展。由此不难看出，无论是从理论层面强调绿色可持续发展理念，还是从实践层面实行推进清洁能源生产等方式，其最终目的都是为了实现经济高质量发展，因此平衡好生态环境与经济之间的发展关系尤为重要。也正是因为如此，政府和企业也越来越重视环境规制在协调环境污染与经济高质量发展中所发挥的作用，而产业结构升级又是衡量经济高质量发展的重要指标，因此有必要深入研究环境规制与产业结构升级两者之间的关系。

  本文利用2003-2018年我国30个省市的面板数据,在基准模型的基础上加入环境规制的平方项检验其对产业结构升级的直接影响效应，再加入环境规制与技术创新、外商直接投资、消费需求的交互项，实证检验其对产业结构升级的间接影响效应。结论表明，环境规制既可以通过壁垒效应直接影响产业结构升级，也可以通过这三个中间因素间接影响产业结构升级。而且无论是直接影响还是间接影响均存在不同程度的区域异质性。因此政府应该根据不同区域不同路径的实际影响情况实施针对性强的规制政策，充分发挥环境规制对产业结构升级的正向影响效应。

From the implementation of the strictest environmental protection law in history in 2015, to the proposal to resolutely win the battle against pollution in 2020, to the latest "14th Five-Year Plan" announced by the Party Central Committee, it is emphasized that by 2035, we must not only achieve basic ecological environment For the better, we must work hard to transform modernization into a  man and nature coexist in harmony, which has released a positive signal for the implementation of the strictest environmental protection policy. This requires us not only to always uphold and keep the ecological development concept of "green water and green mountains are golden mountains and silver mountains", but also to achieve the development of social by completely getting rid of the production model of high energy consumption and high emissions. It is not difficult to see from this that whether it is to emphasize the concept of green development from the theoretical level to implement the promotion of cleaning-energy production from the practical level, the ultimate goal is to achieve high-quality economic operation and development, so a good balance  is particularly important. It is precisely because of the government and enterprises are paying more and more attention to the role of environmental regulations in coordinating environmental pollution and high-quality economic development, and the industrial structure's upgrading is a pretty vital indicator to measure high-quality economic development, so it is necessary to deeply study the relaitionship between environmental protection and industrial structure's upgrading.

This paper uses the panel data of 30 provinces and cities in my country from 2003 to 2018, and adds the square term of environmental regulation on the basis of the benchmark model to test its direct impact on the upgrading of industrial structure, and then adds environmental regulation and technological innovation, foreign direct investment, The interactive item of consumer demand is an empirical test of its indirect effect on the upgrading of industrial structure. The conclusion shows that environmental regulation can directly affect the upgrading of industrial structure through barrier effects, and it can also indirectly affect the upgrading of industrial structure through intermediate factors. Moreover, there are different degrees of regional heterogeneity whether it is direct or indirect. Therefore, the government should implement pertinent regulatory policies based on the actual impacts of different routes in different regions, and give full play to the positive impact of environmental regulations on the upgrading of industrial structure.