国际经济与贸易学院知识库

近年来，国际政治、经济环境动荡不安，导致贸易保护主义、逆全球化思潮 卷土重来，国际贸易环境恶化。2020 年，“新冠肺炎”肆虐全球又给国际贸易复 苏蒙上阴影，短期内难以欣欣向荣。国际贸易环境波谲云诡，中共中央政治局常 委会审时度势，提出“深化供给侧结构性改革，充分发挥我国超大规模市场优势 和内需潜力，构建国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局”，以应对百年未有之 大变局。甘肃省作为非沿海沿边的内陆省份，区位劣势是发展国际贸易的 “软 肋”，对外贸易依存度也证实这一点，从而加剧了与东部发达地区的差距。在“双 循环”格局之下，国内大循环为甘肃提供了新的发展机遇，省际贸易作为畅通国 内大循环中的重要环节，扮演着“调度者”角色。甘肃省可以通过省际贸易积极 融入到国内大循环，以省际开放弥补国际开放的不足，这对促进甘肃省经济发展 具有重要意义。 本文通过梳理甘肃省省际贸易现状，重点研究省际贸易对甘肃省经济的贡献、 省际贸易发展中存在的问题。利用投入产出数据及铁路货运数据以了解甘肃省省 际贸易规模、商品结构及贸易地区流向；基于投入产出分析方法测算省际贸易对 甘肃省经济贡献度，发现次于消费，但优于出口、投资，从分部门角度发现，省 际贸易对甘肃省农业、采矿业、石油化学工业等部门贡献度较高。进而通过省际 比较，得出甘肃省省际贸易发展不充分的结论。在此基础上，探寻甘肃省在省际 贸易中存在若干问题，诸如市场分割严重、商品竞争力较弱、交通基础设施建设 薄弱、市场化程度较低以及电子商务发展缓慢。 基于此，本文结合甘肃省的实际情况，就如何更好地促进省际贸易发展，提 出一孔之见：坚持绿色发展理念，优化营商环境，大力培育发展民营经济，突出 本省产业特色，加强基础设施及电商平台建设，促进区域合作并予以政策支持。

In recent years, trade protectionism has "-rised-" on a global scale, and the trend of anti-globalization has recovered, making the international trade environment worse. In 2020, the "coronavirus" raged around the world and cast a shadow over the recovery of international trade. The two elements make it difficult for international trade to thrive in the short term. In response to the complex international trade environment, the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee reviewed the situation and proposed for the first time “ urged the country to accelerate the establishment of a "dual circulation" development pattern in which domestic economic cycle plays a leading role while international economic cycle remains its extension and supplement.”. The "dual circulation" development pattern responds to the complex changes in the current world. As a typical inland province with non-coastal borders, Gansu’s location is the disadvantage in Gansu’s international trade. The degree of dependence on foreign trade also confirms that Gansu Province is not a major international trade one, and Gansu’s disadvantages in international trade have increased gap with the eastern developed regions. Under the " dual circulation " development pattern, the domestic cycle provides Gansu with new development opportunities. As an important link in the smooth domestic cycle, inter-provincial trade plays the role of "dispatcher". It is of great significance for Gansu Province to actively integrate into the domestic cycle through the development of inter-provincial trade, and to make up for the shortcomings in international opening with inter-provincial opening up to promote the economic development of Gansu Province.

This thesis mainly studies the status quo of inter-provincial trade in Gansu, the contribution of inter-provincial trade to the economy of Gansu, and its problems of inter-provincial trade. Using input-output data and railway freight data to understand Gansu’s inter-provincial trade scale, commodity structure and trade area flow; based on the input-output analysis method to measure the contribution of inter-provincial trade to Gansu’s economy, in terms of Gansu Province The contribution of inter-provincial trade to Gansu’s economy is better than that of exports, investment and second to consumption. From a sub-sector perspective, the contribution of inter-provincial trade varies from department to department. Inter-provincial trade contributes to agriculture, mining, petrochemical industry and other sectors. Degree is higher. Based on relevant indicators, data and the specific conditions of Gansu Province, it is known that Gansu Province has several problems in inter-provincial trade, such as serious market segmentation, small differences in industrial specialization, low marketization, insufficient private economic vitality, and transportation Infrastructure construction and e-commerce platform construction are relatively weak.

Based on these analyses, combined with the problems of Gansu’s problems in inter-provincial trade, I try to propose the following solutions: adhering to the concept of green development, local governments should insist on implementing the policy of decentralization, regulation and service, vigorously cultivate and develop the private economy, and develop the province’s characteristic industries based on the province’s comparative advantages and strengthen the construction of infrastructure and e-commerce platform.