中国与白俄罗斯双边贸易潜力研究

作者	汪云
姓名汉语拼音	wang yun
学号	2018000002053
培养单位	兰州财经大学
电话	18895676306
电子邮件	1528028722@qq.com
入学年份	2018-9
学位类别	学术硕士
培养级别	硕士研究生
学科门类	经济学
一级学科名称	应用经济学
学科方向	国际贸易学
学科代码	020206
第一导师姓名	蔡文浩
第一导师姓名汉语拼音	cai wen hao
第一导师单位	兰州财经大学
第一导师职称	教授
题名	中国与白俄罗斯双边贸易潜力研究
英文题名	Research on the Potential of Bilateral Trade between China and Belarus
关键词	中白双边贸易贸易结构贸易竞争性贸易互补性贸易潜力
外文关键词	Bilateral trade between China and Belarus ; Trade structure ; Trade competition ; Trade complementarity ; Trade potential
摘要	本文首先从比较优势理论、竞争优势理论和要素禀赋理论三个方面分析了中国和白俄罗斯双边贸易的理论基础。其次，从贸易规模、贸易结构、贸易竞争性和贸易互补性这四个方面对中白两国贸易现状进行分析。分析结果表明：第一，中白两国贸易规模增长速度较快，我国长期贸易顺差；第二，从中白双边贸易结构来看，中国劳动、资本和技术密集型产品贸易顺差，资源密集型产品贸易逆差；第三，中国与白俄罗斯竞争优势不同，我国在资本、技术、劳动密集型产品有竞争优势，白俄罗斯在资源密集型产品具有竞争优势；第四，中国和白俄罗贸易互补性较强，两国在资源、劳动、资本和技术密集型产品均存在互补关系。再次，以 2002-2018 年我国与白俄罗斯等 26 个样本国数据为基础，运用随机前沿引力模型和贸易非效率模型分析中白两国贸易潜力的大小。研究表明：第一，我国与白俄罗斯属于贸易潜力巨大型，表明中白双边贸易仍存在很大发展空间，两国应该积极寻找新的经济增长点，进一步发掘双边贸易潜力；第二，我国和白俄罗斯的贸易潜力指数逐年增长，表明中白两国贸易发展趋势良好；第三，除两国的经济规模和地理距离外，投资自由度、金融自由度、政治稳定和监管质量是影响双边贸易效率的重要因素。最后，为提升中白两国的经贸合作水平、实现优势产能互补，本文提出了相应的政策建议。
英文摘要	This paper first analyzes the theoretical basis of bilateral trade between China and Belarus from the three aspects: comparative advantage theory, competitive advantage theory and factor endowment theory. Secondly, this article analysis of the status quo of bilateral trade between China and Belarus from the four aspects: trade scale, trade structure, trade competition and trade complementarity. The results show: First,the trade scale between China and Belarus is growing rapidly and China's long-term trade surplus;second,China's trade surplus of labor-intensive products, capital and technology-intensive products, and the trade deficit of resource-intensive products;third,China and Belarus have different competitive advantages: our country labor-intensive products, capital and technology-intensive products have competitive advantages,and Belarus' resource-intensive products have competitive advantages;fourth, Trade between China and Belarus is highly complementary, and the two countries have complementary relations in resource-intensive products, labor-intensive products, capital- and technology-intensive products.Finally, based on data from 26 sample countries, including China and Belarus, from 2002 to 2018, this paper analyzes the bilateral trade potential of China and Belarus using random frontier gravity models and trade inefficiency models. The research shows:first, China and Belarus belong to the type of great trade potential,and the trade potential between the two countries has not been fully exploited, and there is still a lot of room for development, and the two countries should actively seek new economic growth points to further tap the trade potential of the two countries;second,the trade potential index of China and Belarus has been increasing year by year, indicating that the trade development trend between China and Belarus is good;third, in addition to the economic size and geographical distance between the two countries, the investment freedom, the financial freedom, the political stability and the regulatory quality are important factors affecting the efficiency of bilateral trade.In addition, in order to enhance the level of economic and trade cooperation and realize the complementary advantages of production capacity between China and Belarus,this paper puts forward some corresponding policy suggestions.
学位类型	硕士
答辩日期	2021-05-21
学位授予地点	甘肃省兰州市
语种	中文
论文总页数	59
参考文献总数	71
馆藏号	0003520
保密级别	公开
中图分类号	F74/223
文献类型	学位论文
条目标识符	http://ir.lzufe.edu.cn/handle/39EH0E1M/29463
专题	国际经济与贸易学院
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	汪云. 中国与白俄罗斯双边贸易潜力研究[D]. 甘肃省兰州市. 兰州财经大学,2021.

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