统计与数据科学学院知识库

产业转移首先是一种经济现象，从主体性行为来说，它是通过产业转出和承 接来实现的。改革开放以来东南沿海地区凭借廉价劳动力优势积极承接国外产业 转移，使得东部各省经济发展水平与技术水平大幅提升，并成为全球制造业加工 中心。而西部地区由于地理因素以及经济发展水平的制约，并没有得到国际产业 转移的青睐，因此导致我国东西部地区经济差距进一步拉大。但随着东部地区用 工成本不断上升，劳动力廉价的资源禀赋优势丧失，产业转型迫在眉睫。如何承 接东部地区的产业转移来实现西部落后省份经济腾飞，无疑成为我国实现全面建 成小康社会的重要途径、达到区域协调发展的重要一环。在这种背景下，论文选 取甘肃省作为研究对象，结合多种理论和实证方法对其承接外省产业转移过程中 技术溢出效应展开研究，具有重要的现实意义。 本文首先从不同视角对产业转移技术溢出效应进行了文献回顾和述评，并且 从产业转移技术溢出效应的作用机制、影响因素等方面进行系统地探索，构建了 产业转移技术溢出效应的理论体系。其次，从甘肃省承接产业转移的总体规模、 以及行业分布特征和空间分布特征来把握甘肃省产业转移现状。然后在以上理论、 机制、现状分析的基础上对甘肃省工业承接产业转移技术溢出效应进行实证分析， 运用普通面板模型和引入空间权重矩阵的空间面板模型进行对比分析，结果显示: 甘肃省承接产业转移存在着显著正向技术溢出效应，但空间计量模型在分析技术 溢出效应时效果不显著，原因是空间权重矩阵的选择有待进一步完善。最后通过 构建分位数回归模型，较深入地分析了影响甘肃省技术溢出效应的各种因素，并 结合实证结果给出了切实可行的政策建议。

First of all, industrial transfer is an economic phenomenon. From the perspective of subjective behavior, it is realized through industrial transfer and undertaking. Since the reform and opening up, the southeast coastal areas have actively undertaken foreign industrial transfer with the advantage of cheap labor force, which has greatly improved the economic development and technological level of the eastern provinces and made them the global manufacturing and processing centers. However, the western region is not favored by the international industrial transfer due to the constraints of geographical factors and the level of economic development, which leads to the further widening of the economic gap between the eastern and western regions of China. However, with the rising labor cost in the eastern region and the loss of cheap labor resources, the industrial transformation is imminent. How to carry on the industrial transfer in the eastern region to realize the economic take-off of the backward western provinces has undoubtedly become an important way for China to complete the building of a moderately prosperous society in all respects and an important link for the coordinated development of regions. In this context, the thesis selects gansu province as the research object, and empirical methods to study the technology spillover effect in the process of undertaking industrial transfer from other provinces, which has important practical significance. 兰州财经大学硕士学位论文 甘肃省工业承接产业转移的技术溢出效应研究 Firstly, paper reviews and comments on the spillover effect of industrial transfer technology from different perspectives, and systematically explores the mechanism and influencing factors of the spillover effect of industrial transfer technology, and constructs the theoretical system of the spillover effect of industrial transfer technology. Secondly, from the overall scale of industrial transfer in Gansu Province, as well as the characteristics of industrial distribution and spatial distribution to grasp the current situation of industrial transfer in Gansu Province. Then on the basis of the above theory, mechanism and current situation analysis, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the technology spillover effect of industrial transfer in Gansu Province, using the common panel model and the spatial panel model with the introduction of spatial weight matrix for comparative analysis, the results show that: There is a significant positive technology spillover effect in Gansu Province, but the spatial measurement model is not significant in analyzing technology spillover effect, because the choice of spatial weight matrix needs to be further improved. Finally, by constructing quantile regression model, this paper analyzes various factors that affect technology spillover effect, and gives practical policy suggestions based on the empirical results.