统计与数据科学学院知识库

论文以甘肃省各市州为研究对象，立足于多学科领域，如生态经济学、统计 学和生物数学等，定量测度甘肃省生态文明建设情况。论文内容分为三方面： 第一，理论构建。从理论角度探讨生态脆弱区生态文明建设统计测度体系， 主要包括三方面工作：首先，分析甘肃省各市州生态文明建设现状及面临的挑战， 在分析基础上构建适合生态脆弱区甘肃省的生态文明测度框架；其次，分析统计 测度体系构建的基本流程，主要包括测度框架的构建思路，测度框架的内涵解析 等；最后，构建生态文明指标测度体系为后续实证分析做好理论铺垫。 第二，实证分析。从实证角度对甘肃省各市州生态文明建设水平的现状、潜 能和系统运行进行分析，并根据实证结果提出相关建议。主要包括三方面工作： 首先，基于甘肃省 14 市州进行实例分析，归纳总结各市州生态文明建设过程中 的优势与短板；其次，借助数理统计学方法—核密度估计法和空间统计学方法— 重心法和椭圆标准差法探讨甘肃省各市州生态文明建设水平的空间分布形态及 格局演变特征；最后，以 Lotka-Volterra 理论为基础，构建甘肃省生态经济耦合 巨系统的共生协调度指数，通过分析经济社会系统—生态文明系统的安全运行级 别动态判断矩阵，对甘肃省各市州生态经济系统安全运行进行评价，进而对区域 生态经济系统的文明、安全运行进行定量评估。 第三，思考与建议。首先对论文采用的生态文明测度体系进行思考，提出论 文是基于生态文明测度体系构建的生态经济系统解析框架，在解决生态经济复杂 巨系统问题时，要遵循“理论支撑、系统思考、维度全面”的分析思路。其次，依 据前文分析所得到的实证分析结果尝试对甘肃省生态文明建设水平提出相关发 展建议，以期为政府制定各市州生态文明发展对策提供相关参考。

The thesis takes the cities and prefectures of Gansu Province as research objects, and based on multidisciplinary fields, such as ecological economics, statistics, and biological mathematics, quantitatively measures the construction of ecological civilization in Gansu Province. The content of the thesis is divided into three aspects: Firstly, theory constructed. From a theoretical perspective, the statistical measurement system for ecological civilization construction in ecologically fragile areas is mainly composed of three aspects: First, analyze the current status and challenges of ecological civilization construction in cities and prefectures of Gansu Province, and build an ecological civilization suitable for ecologically fragile areas in Gansu Province based on the analysis. The measurement framework; secondly, the basic process of constructing a statistical measurement system is analyzed, mainly including the construction of the measurement framework, the analysis of the connotation of the measurement framework, etc. Finally, the ecological civilization index measurement system is constructed to provide a theoretical basis for subsequent empirical analysis. Secondly, empirical analysis. An empirical analysis of the current status, potential, and system operation of the level of ecological civilization construction in cities and prefectures of Gansu Province, and related suggestions based on the empirical results. It mainly includes three aspects of work: first, based on the analysis of 14 cities and prefectures in Gansu Province, summarize and summarize the advantages and shortcomings in the process of ecological civilization construction in each city and prefecture; second, with the help of mathematical statistical methods-kernel density estimation method and spatial statistical method —The center of gravity method and the ellipse standard deviation method are used to explore the spatial distribution patterns and pattern evolution characteristics of ecological civilization construction levels in cities and prefectures of Gansu Province. Finally, based on the Lotka-Volterra theory, construct the symbiotic coordination index of the ecological and economic coupling giant system in Gansu Province By analyzing the dynamic judgement matrix of the safe operation level of the economic and social system-ecological civilization system, the safe operation of the ecological and economic systems in cities and prefectures of Gansu Province is evaluated, and then the civilized and safe operation of the regional ecological and economic system is quantitatively evaluated. Thirdly, thinking and suggestions. First of all, think about the ecological civilization measurement system used in the paper, and propose that the paper is an analytical framework of ecological economic system based on the ecological civilization measurement system. When solving complex ecological economic giant system problems, we must follow "theoretical support, systematic thinking, comprehensive dimensions" Analysis ideas. Secondly, based on the empirical analysis results obtained in the previous analysis, an attempt was made to propose relevant development suggestions for the level of ecological civilization construction in Gansu Province, with a view to providing relevant references for the government to formulate countermeasures for the development of ecological civilization in cities and states.